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FBaggins

(28,706 posts)

22. That's the point

Reply to muriel_volestrangler (Reply #15)

Tue Oct 20, 2020, 03:01 PM

Oct 2020

~25% of a small number is nowhere near as significant as 5-10% of a much higher baseline.

If you live to 25... you're almost certainly going to make it to 44. COVID doesn't change that. Having to ignore data from every category that IS significant so that you can "see" the impact sorta defeats the point.

I'd guess that there are about 75 million Americans in that age group. In an average period of this length, you would expect ~3,000 to die but it has been ~4,000. That isn't particularly shocking given a global pandemic. I think most in that age group would assume that the number would be higher.

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⚠️BREAKING--Huge CDC study says #COVID19 not only caused 285,000 excess deaths-- [View all] kpete Oct 2020 OP

K&Fuckin'R Guy Whitey Corngood Oct 2020 #1

So sad. So very sad. underpants Oct 2020 #2

Precisely Sherman A1 Oct 2020 #18

The truth will finally come out. Thanks for posting livetohike Oct 2020 #3

So much for the "200,000 is overinflated because it includes cases with multiple CODs" nonsense. GopherGal Oct 2020 #4

As the saying goes... "lies, damn lies, and statistics" FBaggins Oct 2020 #5

To put some numbers on it, in week 29 - the worst of recent weeks muriel_volestrangler Oct 2020 #9

Easier to see it graphically FBaggins Oct 2020 #14

But the pixels in those graphics are hard to measure muriel_volestrangler Oct 2020 #15

That's the point FBaggins Oct 2020 #22

Thanks. That makes the point pretty clearly. stopdiggin Oct 2020 #16

Go to this CDC website and check out the graphs TheRickles Oct 2020 #26

Deaths aren't back to normal yet FBaggins Oct 2020 #27

It's true, it is low BUT liberalgunwilltravel Oct 2020 #12

Human brains are not good at understanding probabilities and statistics. aidbo Oct 2020 #20

Thank you for that! Ron Obvious Oct 2020 #50

Perhaps because they are out and about, working to support families? bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #6

no mask, no social distancing stillcool Oct 2020 #17

Can't be true liberalgunwilltravel Oct 2020 #7

This is HUGE! malaise Oct 2020 #8

Exactly. The back of my neck is prickling. dchill Oct 2020 #10

My brother has been saying 500,000 by election day and I said malaise Oct 2020 #11

We are in for a very hard time. dchill Oct 2020 #25

Over 1/4 million dead Botany Oct 2020 #13

Kick dalton99a Oct 2020 #19

I guess saying "told you so" would be insensitive and inappropriate... NurseJackie Oct 2020 #21

K & R & Retweeted! SunSeeker Oct 2020 #23

Doctor Atlas will save us all. LastLiberal in PalmSprings Oct 2020 #24

my ex who is in the medical field Squidly Oct 2020 #28

it doesn't hit them at a high rate, but when it hits them it hits them hard LymphocyteLover Oct 2020 #30

wow BeckyDem Oct 2020 #29

Yet Trump had to recover from this quickly and make it look like just the flu to many. Ligyron Oct 2020 #31

He's being pumped full of steroids NJCher Oct 2020 #39

Yeah, he had experimental treatments Zing Zing Zingbah Oct 2020 #44

Some of those experimental treatments could have a nasty backspin. calimary Oct 2020 #48

The maskless rallies don't help either IronLionZion Oct 2020 #45

Dexamethasone, remdesivir and the immune. Cocktail JCMach1 Oct 2020 #47

Glad you made it through ok! Ligyron Oct 2020 #52

Not surprised. BlueWavePsych Oct 2020 #32

Many of those who survived have lingering damage. nt oasis Oct 2020 #33

My x-ray looks like I still have Covid Pneumonia JCMach1 Oct 2020 #46

I'm hopeful you can fully recover. Stay strong friend. oasis Oct 2020 #53

It is still higher noneof_theabove Oct 2020 #34

((WaPo: 2/3 due to CV-19, 1/3 due to other causes)) nitpicker Oct 2020 #35

This upcoming winter will not be fun. warmfeet Oct 2020 #36

I was derided for saying as much in March. Cetacea Oct 2020 #37

You're not the only one rocktivity Oct 2020 #43

Cheers Cetacea Oct 2020 #54

No it did not, the speaknow Oct 2020 #38

After he loses in November, our Manchurian President... Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #40

My bet is still on Crimea. calimary Oct 2020 #49

What part of "mutating" do they not understand? rocktivity Oct 2020 #41

Kick....n/t Upthevibe Oct 2020 #42

k&r BSdetect Oct 2020 #51

This really ought to be headline news every day BSdetect Oct 2020 #55