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(56,111 posts)

6. Interesting! The states aren't completely independent random variables

Reply to Hassin Bin Sober (Reply #5)

Wed Oct 21, 2020, 12:00 PM

Oct 2020

There are correlations, so yeah, whatever factors cause Florida to go blue may have at least a little effect on other states as well, in some cases enough to flip the state.

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538 Election Simulator [View all] Zeus69 Oct 2020 OP

That's cool. I plugged in Ohio to go to Biden which I think is possible captain queeg Oct 2020 #1

So foes Iowa grantcart Oct 2020 #3

Monmouth Iowa Biden 51 Trump 46 grantcart Oct 2020 #4

This is indeed cool. We're in good shape if we merely lock up our solid states unblock Oct 2020 #2

But if you give Florida to trump it changes Arizona to trump? Is that correct? Hassin Bin Sober Oct 2020 #5

Interesting! The states aren't completely independent random variables unblock Oct 2020 #6

Well that is a little disconcerting. Hassin Bin Sober Oct 2020 #7

Give Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin to Biden and Donnie has very little chance unblock Oct 2020 #8

Yeah, then it looks a lot more like 2016 Hassin Bin Sober Oct 2020 #9