General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: OK: FWIW, I had a talk with a major newspaper editor yesterday. [View all]Claustrum
(4,845 posts)He said he has seen a lot of private district level polls that are showing a big shift to democrats. In 2016, he saw the opposite and started talking about the red warning signs for Hillary before election day. My impression or interpretation of what he said is that the suburb independent/republicans are shifting to democrats and making a lot of states competitive and I remember Dave said it's closer to a double digit lead than a single digit lead.
Strangely, yesterday, both Dave and Nate Cohn posted their "most likely" Biden flip states prediction and WI is way behind both AZ and PA. We are probably in for a weird election night because it is going to different than we expected. Biden might overperform in the sun belt but underperform in WI, MI and PA.