General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: OK: FWIW, I had a talk with a major newspaper editor yesterday. [View all]Claustrum
(4,845 posts)WI, MI, and PA are traditionally blue states so there were more independent that leans left comparing to the traditionally red south, which they would have more red leaning independent shifting blue.
As far as the voted vs not voted for polling, I've a lot of conflicting answers for it. Some says that's why they think the polling number is off (thus we will see polling error from that this year). Some says it's already accounted for because they push for the answer for how certain they will vote (and that would include people that already early voted and those that are saying they definitely will vote on election day).
And on the early votes thing, I hate that the press is making a big deal out of the democratic vs. republican vote total while completely ignoring the independent votes. If the independent vote is 2:1 to Biden, it almost doesn't matter what vote margin democrats has on early votes. Same thing applies if it's 2:1 to Trump, then whatever lead democrats have will be erased. I think we just don't know until election day when we see how the votes are actually trending.