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Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
51. Interesting. Read too that not all pollsters have adjusted for
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 10:15 AM
Oct 2020

an overweighting of college educated in the rust belt - a factor that explains clinton's loss in 2016 vs polls.

Other challenges for pandemic 2020:

1) with mail ins, so much easier to vote, no one knows what the total electorate will be.

2) the affect of a pandemic that caused millions of families to have to teach their kids at home. Voters could blame trump or like him because he wants schools reopened asap.

3) the affect of a better educated public...since they spent so many more hours at home watching the news.

4) the affect of millions of college kids who may be voting in home state vs college state.

5) the affect of almost a quarter million covid deaths x the avg number of people in their orbit who loved them and will hold it against Trump.

Totally agree with what you said..we won't really know until election day. Too bad Tim Russert isn't around. He would have loved the uncertainty of it all

Huzzah! soothsayer Oct 2020 #1
Good news! Sherman A1 Oct 2020 #2
Not that it means anything but... N_E_1 for Tennis Oct 2020 #3
Thank you for this post. Mike 03 Oct 2020 #4
Yes! ananda Oct 2020 #5
THANKS!!! elleng Oct 2020 #6
Ty for sharing! SheltieLover Oct 2020 #7
it makes me feel better too. barbtries Oct 2020 #8
My gut has been saying this, but I won't believe it until next week. ms liberty Oct 2020 #9
Gut says a lot. I always think how much more motivation we have Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #35
I don't even know what my gut is saying to me anymore, but Habibi Oct 2020 #79
It's worth a lot! North Shore Chicago Oct 2020 #10
Pedal still to the metal until it's OVER! 634-5789 Oct 2020 #11
THIS!! lastlib Oct 2020 #32
It ain't over till it's over... 2naSalit Oct 2020 #34
It Was, Indeed, Yogi! ProfessorGAC Oct 2020 #56
Thanks... 2naSalit Oct 2020 #59
The fat lady is still JUST over the horizon. But I can hear her starting her vocal exercises... not_the_one Oct 2020 #77
We need to win down to Dog Catcher !! uponit7771 Oct 2020 #82
I think so as well. I'm not as confident about the down ballot stuff though captain queeg Oct 2020 #12
Oh Yes! malaise Oct 2020 #13
Biden is going to Texas to csmpaign DIVINEprividence Oct 2020 #14
I hope Biden has long coat tails. Lonestarblue Oct 2020 #17
Considering how close the poll numbers are here in TX... IHaveNoName Oct 2020 #44
Thanks for posting this story. Maybe tonight I'll be able to sleep a little better. Vinca Oct 2020 #15
I as well.... PCIntern Oct 2020 #16
Yep. Sleep hasn't been going well here, either. BComplex Oct 2020 #49
Three days in a row waking up at 4:30 - 5:00 am, can't go back to sleep YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #63
contact your county Democratic party yellowdogintexas Oct 2020 #89
Same here. mountain grammy Oct 2020 #104
⭐️⭐️⭐️K&R ⭐️⭐️⭐️ spanone Oct 2020 #18
I do SO want this to be true. N/T BobsYourUncle Oct 2020 #19
Can't thank you enough for posting this... dixiechiken1 Oct 2020 #20
There are two things your post tells us. madaboutharry Oct 2020 #21
second all of this obamanut2012 Oct 2020 #23
👍 Joinfortmill Oct 2020 #38
Well put. I agree, messages like this are a balm to the nerves. Onward. nt crickets Oct 2020 #75
From his lips to God's ears GeoWilliam750 Oct 2020 #22
This is heartening. I am curious though about these "private polls". Your friend is Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #24
The campaigns commission their own polls. PCIntern Oct 2020 #25
Do you think these are the same secret polls your friend saw? Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #28
See the post directly below this one... PCIntern Oct 2020 #31
Yes, thanks. Just something I never really thought much about. Why certain Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #57
When I was younger and had more stamina I ran field operations for campaigns. GumboYaYa Oct 2020 #88
Wow..totally impressed. Must have been devastating how it Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #101
I think his internals are showing that any time they are talking about COVID GumboYaYa Oct 2020 #108
But knowing Trump's need for adoration, Captain Zero Oct 2020 #98
Can you think of a time when trump was facing absolute certain Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #103
I started reading Dave Wasserman's twitter for a few days. Claustrum Oct 2020 #29
Very interesting. Because it sounds like the "suburban independent Republicans Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #33
My guess on the shift in the south vs. the north is that Claustrum Oct 2020 #37
Interesting. Read too that not all pollsters have adjusted for Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #51
With our thoughts we create the world. WheelWalker Oct 2020 #26
Oh thank you for sharing this info. It makes me feel better too... liberalla Oct 2020 #27
In 2016 Republicans hadn't tipped their hand, now we know their criminal M.O. bucolic_frolic Oct 2020 #30
True mysteries of it all! Why every Republican isn't asked and Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2020 #55
Crooked Don and the crooked Republicans Sugarcoated Oct 2020 #81
From his lips to God's ear. Joinfortmill Oct 2020 #36
Sure hope so DownriverDem Oct 2020 #39
Thank You for this. I needed it. Tommymac Oct 2020 #40
For the SCOTUS to matter it has to be really close YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #64
I know this to be true. Tommymac Oct 2020 #65
I know just what you mean about old-time newspaper editors mcar Oct 2020 #41
Thanks, PCI volstork Oct 2020 #42
So Mote It Be! MineralMan Oct 2020 #43
Indeed, So Mote It Be GeoWilliam750 Oct 2020 #102
Thank you for posting this! Very encouraging! lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #45
So mote it be! davsand Oct 2020 #46
I want this to be true. I'll never feel safe until we have 100% paper ballots rainin Oct 2020 #47
This!!! I want double counting every election with paper ballots that CAN be scanned BComplex Oct 2020 #60
He has no more data than anyone else. Private polls mean nothing also. nt USALiberal Oct 2020 #48
Sorry - disagree: Pollsters at the House district level know the district nuances YessirAtsaFact Oct 2020 #67
we've been hearing for a month stopdiggin Oct 2020 #92
I certainly hope he's right. mnhtnbb Oct 2020 #50
In the immortal words of Yogi Berra, "It ain't over 'til it's over". patphil Oct 2020 #52
That's good. GOP cheating worries me too ecstatic Oct 2020 #53
Putin Seems To Be Throwing Cheato Under The Bus smb Oct 2020 #66
I really hope so ecstatic Oct 2020 #94
Hopeful comments, indeed...nt Wounded Bear Oct 2020 #54
Curious as to whether you had a similar conversation in 2016 - Ms. Toad Oct 2020 #58
Nope PCIntern Oct 2020 #83
I wasn't (positive) - Ms. Toad Oct 2020 #85
Yeah. This place has its moments... PCIntern Oct 2020 #86
Yes, that does help PatSeg Oct 2020 #61
Do you think the fact that you were holding a drill next to an exposed nerve grantcart Oct 2020 #62
Nah, there's no need for pulpal exposure when... drbtg1 Oct 2020 #68
Thanks for sharing this!! nt LAS14 Oct 2020 #69
I'm with you! BobTheSubgenius Oct 2020 #70
I believe it! LittleGirl Oct 2020 #71
*Make* it Happen Roy Rolling Oct 2020 #72
K&R Blue Owl Oct 2020 #73
Thank you! Alacritous Crier Oct 2020 #74
Nice! ismnotwasm Oct 2020 #76
I certainly hope you are right. Snackshack Oct 2020 #78
the cheating may still matter in the Senate paulkienitz Oct 2020 #80
I'll see the first Huzzah, and raise you... PatrickforO Oct 2020 #84
Thank u, makes me feel better! Bluepinky Oct 2020 #87
Thank you, Doctor! Kid Berwyn Oct 2020 #90
Love hearing that! denvine Oct 2020 #91
KnR Hekate Oct 2020 #93
Thank you! lucca18 Oct 2020 #95
I just hope he's not suffering from regional myopia Warpy Oct 2020 #96
I'm inclined to agree lanlady Oct 2020 #97
I suspect he is spot on. Chemisse Oct 2020 #99
I so hope he is right. smirkymonkey Oct 2020 #100
Thank you, PCIntern. BlancheSplanchnik Oct 2020 #105
Old school newspapermen are awesome. Used to be we had guys like that all through the media. brewens Oct 2020 #106
Good, I SO SO hope and pray it is true. I just can't imagine the alternative. Vivienne235729 Oct 2020 #107
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