General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: OK: FWIW, I had a talk with a major newspaper editor yesterday. [View all]Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)an overweighting of college educated in the rust belt - a factor that explains clinton's loss in 2016 vs polls.
Other challenges for pandemic 2020:
1) with mail ins, so much easier to vote, no one knows what the total electorate will be.
2) the affect of a pandemic that caused millions of families to have to teach their kids at home. Voters could blame trump or like him because he wants schools reopened asap.
3) the affect of a better educated public...since they spent so many more hours at home watching the news.
4) the affect of millions of college kids who may be voting in home state vs college state.
5) the affect of almost a quarter million covid deaths x the avg number of people in their orbit who loved them and will hold it against Trump.
Totally agree with what you said..we won't really know until election day. Too bad Tim Russert isn't around. He would have loved the uncertainty of it all