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Amishman

(5,918 posts)

16. Nate mentioned they have now flagged Trafalgar as fully partizan

Reply to Norbert (Original post)

Sat Oct 31, 2020, 07:54 AM

Oct 2020

I looked at the breakdowns in the recent set of Trafalgar polls.

Just not believable data.

Not just for it's Trump support levels, but how it gets there. The MI poll has Trump winning the youth vote, losing the elderly, winning 25% of the black vote, getting significant Democrat crossover, but still not quite getting to 50% with men overall. If by some improbable circumstance Trump wins MI it certainly wouldn't look like that.

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538: Biden has cracked the 90 in 100 chance of winning [View all] Norbert Oct 2020 OP

I hope they're right Vogon_Glory Oct 2020 #1

Or both DonaldsRump Oct 2020 #2

Im so sick of PENNSYLVANIA MFM008 Oct 2020 #3

I was sick of Pittsburgh in the 70's, and I... Buckeye_Democrat Oct 2020 #5

To Be Honest modrepub Oct 2020 #10

Definitely the "And Florida" part. calimary Oct 2020 #15

Wouldn't it be AWESOME to live in a DEMOCRACY... jcgoldie Oct 2020 #21

I know MFM008 Oct 2020 #31

What if Republican legislators ignore popular votes and vote Trump on their own? Cicada Oct 2020 #4

In all states there are different ways of picking the members of the EC. marie999 Oct 2020 #17

See Kavanaugh footnote in recent case Cicada Oct 2020 #23

Every state has laws Turin_C3PO Oct 2020 #18

Those state laws will be overruled by the new Supreme Court majority Cicada Oct 2020 #24

All of the state legislatures have already delegated the choice to the voters. yellowcanine Oct 2020 #19

You missed Kavanaugh recently adopting the dissent in Bush v Gore 2000 Cicada Oct 2020 #25

No I didn't miss it. Doesn't change the facts. He is wrong. yellowcanine Oct 2020 #26

Is it possible that four other Supremes believe a Kavannaugh is correct? Cicada Oct 2020 #27

This message was self-deleted by its author Cicada Oct 2020 #28

I expected this malaise Oct 2020 #6

I love your optimism. NurseJackie Oct 2020 #9

You can't be responsible for all these deaths, pretend they aren't happening and contemplate malaise Oct 2020 #13

National polling averages have been remarkably stable.... paleotn Oct 2020 #7

Biden's polling advantage could be 99 of 100 and he could still lose. jaxexpat Oct 2020 #8

The Economist Pegged It At 97% ProfessorGAC Oct 2020 #11

That still gives Trump a 1 in 10 chance BasicallyComplicated Oct 2020 #12

You Talking To Me? ProfessorGAC Oct 2020 #32

The Economist's model is driven by national polling, I ignore it Amishman Oct 2020 #14

Sorry, That's Not Accurate ProfessorGAC Oct 2020 #33

Nate mentioned they have now flagged Trafalgar as fully partizan Amishman Oct 2020 #16

K&R USALiberal Oct 2020 #20

Not even Pootie can save him now. lpbk2713 Oct 2020 #22

It's interesting - if you go to this map: George II Oct 2020 #29

It's interesting - if you go to this map: George II Oct 2020 #30

"Biden is clearly favored to win the election" as of today nt Shermann Nov 2020 #34