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kansasobama

(1,750 posts) Sun Nov 1, 2020, 09:41 AM Nov 2020

Florida update -It is dependent on independents [View all]

Florida

As of this morning:

Dems 39.2%
GOP 38.1%
NPA - 21.3%

Dems lead only by 1.1% with 60% voted. Only 94,905. 95000 lead is Hillary Clinton territory which worries me. Maybe, election day GOP voters have already voted (Stay home GOP on election day)

Miami-Dade- Dems lead by only 84000!

Well, I hope the polls are correct. Numbers are giving me some worries. Maybe, NPA's are solidly behind Biden and GOP Retirees are switching sides.

Source: https://countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

One Good News:
There seems to be some positive news in Miami-Dade today. More Democrats are coming, maybe Kamala worked hard yesterday. Many say that NPAs are voting at a higher rate in Miami-Dade.

45 replies

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Florida update -It is dependent on independents [View all] kansasobama Nov 2020 OP

Florida rso Nov 2020 #1

I think I read that the tradition of "souls to the poll" event is scheduled today Claustrum Nov 2020 #2

Nope. lark Nov 2020 #10

Thanks for the correction n/t Claustrum Nov 2020 #12

The poster is wrong. Most big Florida counties ARE voting today until 8pm. Blue_true Nov 2020 #35

No, we can vote today obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #19

Only some counties closed yesterday, not all kansasobama Nov 2020 #26

Orange and Hillsborough are voting today until 8pm. nt Blue_true Nov 2020 #36

I wanted to report this response Nimble_Idea Nov 2020 #28

Oh come on now, I was 1000% not doing this maliciously. lark Nov 2020 #43

It is up to the county mcar Nov 2020 #31

My red county ended yesterday. The massive counties are voting today. nt Blue_true Nov 2020 #37

There is voting today in a number of big counties. Blue_true Nov 2020 #32

Please correct your post! flamingdem Nov 2020 #38

Sorry about that lark Nov 2020 #39

Thanks Lark! flamingdem Nov 2020 #41

Sorry about that lark Nov 2020 #40

We are able to vote today obamanut2012 Nov 2020 #20

Exactly. Fortunately Florida Democrats should know better. nt Blue_true Nov 2020 #33

My brother and his wife are in a red FL county, so haven't registered as OnDoutside Nov 2020 #3

Same with my sister and her boyfriend. lark Nov 2020 #11

He reckons he's gets less hassle by doing so, because so much info is public in FL. OnDoutside Nov 2020 #25

I have a friend whose husband is registered as Repug for that reason. lark Nov 2020 #44

Yeah that sort of thing, my brother bought his house from the guy who OnDoutside Nov 2020 #45

Nice! Rice4VP Nov 2020 #30

Obama going tomorrow? kansasobama Nov 2020 #4

I think independents being the deciders will be a wide pattern Amishman Nov 2020 #5

Good points made in your last paragraph. Blue_true Nov 2020 #34

the problem with extrapolation from party affiliation records is it glosses over the crossover votes beachbumbob Nov 2020 #6

Good point beachcomb kansasobama Nov 2020 #8

That poll relies on a 26 point swing from Biden to Trump by independents in one month ooky Nov 2020 #13

It's more believable than not beachbumbob Nov 2020 #23

On what basis? ooky Nov 2020 #24

Spot on! nt Phoenix61 Nov 2020 #9

I've said all along GOP are cannibalising ED votes as well in the EV. sunonmars Nov 2020 #7

How much of a lead do we usually have at this point? Nt helpisontheway Nov 2020 #14

"Numbers are giving me some worries." jcgoldie Nov 2020 #15

Rahm Emanuel said that no person has ever won the presidency losing the Independent voters. Autumn Nov 2020 #16

MIRT greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #17

Registration is only meaningful for primary elections Klaralven Nov 2020 #18

They also expect some older Republican voters concerned about Covid to switch over. nt Quixote1818 Nov 2020 #21

Here's what Dave Wasserman of Cook Political and Harry Enten of 538 say about trying to Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #22

I imagine Florida Democrats get more Democratic over time. David__77 Nov 2020 #27

You can't make any determination in Florida based upon party registration MoonlitKnight Nov 2020 #29

We don't need Independents!!! /sarcasm dustyscamp Nov 2020 #42