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smb

(3,598 posts)

201. Not Really

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 10:27 PM

Nov 2020

Only a few states have the stupid rules against pre-counting early votes -- most of them will have the totals (a much larger percentage of the total this time) mostly ready to report as soon as the polls close.

(Getting rid of such rules across the board ought to be one of the national-standards reforms the Dems ought to enact once we take both houses and the Presidency.)

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No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down. [View all] Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 OP

Sounds good to me. Whatever happened AkFemDem Nov 2020 #1

As a non Georgian AkFemDem Nov 2020 #2

Popping the champagne already! n/t moonscape Nov 2020 #86

As a Georgian, klook Nov 2020 #165

He says 12:45, Georgia called for Biden. Captain Zero Nov 2020 #27

Yay! AkFemDem Nov 2020 #36

Michigan DownriverDem Nov 2020 #157

michigan pamdb Nov 2020 #194

michigan pamdb Nov 2020 #195

Dang, it's like I was there! AleksS Nov 2020 #3

This message was self-deleted by its author Catcar Nov 2020 #4

sounds perfect!!!!! Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #5

I feel like I just read TxDemChem Nov 2020 #6

me too thanks I needed that ace3csusm Nov 2020 #74

We'll see how this shakes out on Tuesday MustLoveBeagles Nov 2020 #7

Great fun, thanks! nt babylonsister Nov 2020 #8

Bookmarking this Ananda62 Nov 2020 #9

Bookmarked! gristy Nov 2020 #10

Now I need a smoke. Hassin Bin Sober Nov 2020 #11

"This isn't a hospital! It's an insane asylum!" louis-t Nov 2020 #162

Bookmarked! This will make it more fun. JohnnyLib2 Nov 2020 #12

PA & MI won't be called to Wednesday Trenzalore Nov 2020 #13

MI passed a law this year allowing counties with populations bigger than 25,000 to start processing Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #21

Did you see 60 Minutes sun night? NJCher Nov 2020 #116

Arizona will have a lot of ballots counted... Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #119

I think Philadelphia is going to report as much as it can as fast as it can WSHazel Nov 2020 #85

That was intense. crickets Nov 2020 #14

I think you'll be right. C_U_L8R Nov 2020 #15

12:10am is perfect re: its tweet Roland99 Nov 2020 #16

And I bet this becomes the most bookmarked thread ever at DU! Roland99 Nov 2020 #17

Wow bdamomma Nov 2020 #18

Shit - so was I. calimary Nov 2020 #40

Bookmarked. :) TwilightZone Nov 2020 #19

Please, please, please crow as soon as you are proven correct Ferrets are Cool Nov 2020 #20

Brilliant, D.I. Very entertaining. Thanks for doing this. brush Nov 2020 #22

Nope. MI and Wi will be called for Biden by 11:00 Eastern. My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #23

Thanks for the well-thought-out projection. Encouraging. Nitram Nov 2020 #24

9:00 AM Eastern, dem4decades pops a bottle of champagne with his wife. dem4decades Nov 2020 #25

Thank you for assuring me in advance, if Biden is down 33 to 3 Mr. Ected Nov 2020 #26

If it goes like this so will buy you a bottle of scotch SoonerPride Nov 2020 #28

love it! samnsara Nov 2020 #29

That was very enjoyable! Thank you! liberalla Nov 2020 #30

AND not to mention, but Biden will have a HUGE popular vote victory. Captain Zero Nov 2020 #31

Impressive ! Thank you! apcalc Nov 2020 #32

That's great - nice job, very entertaining read, thanks. Without as much detail..... George II Nov 2020 #33

MI - 95% Biden, WI - 93% Biden (538) Called by 11PM . My Pet Orangutan Nov 2020 #34

Damned if that doesn't sound incredibly plausible to me Silent3 Nov 2020 #35

I know this sounds ridiculous..but by 9pm ET the election will be called for Biden. Stuart G Nov 2020 #37

The networks will wait until the polls close on the west coast PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 2020 #47

Wow!!! This was so exciting!! Bookmarked Olafjoy Nov 2020 #38

Wow ColoradoBlue Nov 2020 #39

Welcome to DU, ColoradoBlue! calimary Nov 2020 #45

Outstanding, reasonable and entertaining. One question grantcart Nov 2020 #41

That's a really beautiful time machine you got there. Mystery sage Nov 2020 #42

Well thought out. But even if not exactly right, we have other paths to victory. Stinky The Clown Nov 2020 #43

You make as much sense as about anything else I've seen. Liberal In Texas Nov 2020 #44

I hope they are wrong about cannabis_flower Nov 2020 #129

Me, too, cannabis_flower. I hope Texas blows trump out of the race, and dems take BComplex Nov 2020 #152

Bookmarked LostinRed Nov 2020 #46

I hope so. IronLionZion Nov 2020 #48

thanks for all this. It will be helpful on election night Hamlette Nov 2020 #49

From your lips to God's ears. nt SunSeeker Nov 2020 #50

I won't be home until 10:30pm so I won't be able to watch the results until then. IrishEyes Nov 2020 #51

BOOKMARKED and Wow (Truly impressive And a tad obsessive)... Ellipsis Nov 2020 #52

Pennsylvania will def. go for Biden FakeNoose Nov 2020 #198

I got chills when I got to 12:10 in your projection mikelgb Nov 2020 #53

Virginia will be called at 7. We've been Rice4VP Nov 2020 #54

You may well be right, but in the past the largest county didn't report its spooky3 Nov 2020 #57

That was fun! nt cry baby Nov 2020 #55

Reads like a thriller. Great job. Pepsidog Nov 2020 #56

You put a helluva lot of work into this-- thank you!! ailsagirl Nov 2020 #58

Thanks. I'll remember not to freak out early on. nolabear Nov 2020 #59

Bookmarked. MontanaMama Nov 2020 #60

I'll be in bed by 7 cilla4progress Nov 2020 #64

I told my guys that MontanaMama Nov 2020 #69

Sweet, thank you! cilla4progress Nov 2020 #80

Universe be with your girl. MontanaMama Nov 2020 #83

I know. cilla4progress Nov 2020 #94

So sorry to hear this. ancianita Nov 2020 #102

So far, cilla4progress Nov 2020 #202

I went to bed early last time and BrightKnight Nov 2020 #199

Hey! You're not drunk all the time, are you! dchill Nov 2020 #61

Brilliant exposition and lucid thinking. Muchas gracias! nt Prof.Higgins Nov 2020 #62

OMG! I hope you are psychic... MoonchildCA Nov 2020 #63

Wow, that was fun to read! liberal_mama Nov 2020 #65

Oh, I do hope so! Thank you for all this work. Meanwhile, phonebanking. somaticexperiencing Nov 2020 #66

Well done DI ! Saved to savor again in two days. FailureToCommunicate Nov 2020 #67

Great analysis Poiuyt Nov 2020 #68

Ok w me! lindysalsagal Nov 2020 #70

Epic post! You made Mr. Giblets cry tears of joy, not an easy feat. flibbitygiblets Nov 2020 #71

Bookmarked! Mme. Defarge Nov 2020 #72

Bookmarked HubertHeaver Nov 2020 #73

This is an exciting read... Trueblue Texan Nov 2020 #75

great level of detail AlexSFCA Nov 2020 #76

49 hours til President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris! Roland99 Nov 2020 #77

I could hear Brian William's voice as I read it. SharonClark Nov 2020 #78

Sounds good, but you forgot.... cbdo2007 Nov 2020 #79

Nikki will never be approved by congress. HubertHeaver Nov 2020 #99

Recommended. H2O Man Nov 2020 #81

This message was self-deleted by its author lunatica Nov 2020 #82

New Mexico's 3 EVs will be called for Biden around 10 pm EST, possibly earlier. Bank on it. n/t TygrBright Nov 2020 #84

NM has 5 EV's not 3 but I agree it will be called very early after polls close there. nt Quixote1818 Nov 2020 #118

Very cool. Joinfortmill Nov 2020 #87

Damn you! SCantiGOP Nov 2020 #88

Works for me world wide wally Nov 2020 #89

That is one thorough and well-considered breakdown. BobTheSubgenius Nov 2020 #90

Well done! Jon King Nov 2020 #91

Riveting! Followed your timeline, state by state analysis --Biden wins--damn going to be quite RestoreAmerica2020 Nov 2020 #92

Bookmarked Tom Rivers Nov 2020 #93

Bookmarked JohnnyRingo Nov 2020 #95

Nice work WSHazel Nov 2020 #96

Texas count will essentially be done before midnight. yellowdogintexas Nov 2020 #125

I predict that Trump will lose in a landslide, 413-125. Trump will declare victory anyway. StevieM Nov 2020 #97

Book marked burrowowl Nov 2020 #98

K & R !!! Excellent analysis !!! nt Progressive Jones Nov 2020 #100

I just want to get home before the cult starts shooting up the place. AllyCat Nov 2020 #101

Wow! That was wonderful! lucca18 Nov 2020 #103

Here's hoping sakabatou Nov 2020 #104

As the Emperor told Luke, "So be it, Jedi!" I've bookmarked this post for PatrickforO Nov 2020 #105

Dam that's some good work. njhoneybadger Nov 2020 #106

Kick. Iggo Nov 2020 #107

I'm visualizing it... Blue Owl Nov 2020 #108

This sounds right. coti Nov 2020 #109

Here's my off the wall prediction: TryLogic Nov 2020 #110

Not to Russia: Too much Polonium there. More like Saudi Arabia or the UAE (Dubai or Abu Dhabi). Lock him up. Nov 2020 #111

Your killing me MFM008 Nov 2020 #112

Well, you know I gotta bookmark this for Tuesday, glad I won't be up late on the West Coast. Nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2020 #113

DI - I look forward to looking at your prognostication Tues nite!! NoMoreRepugs Nov 2020 #114

Thanks, DI! That's it. I can't be exhausted twice in one week so I'm going with your prediction. ancianita Nov 2020 #115

My plan, exactly! cilla4progress Nov 2020 #178

Wow. Extraordinarily impressive that you pulled this together Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #117

Picking up some Guinness for Tues and bookmarking this.. HipChick Nov 2020 #120

Bookmarking! And even though I am on the West Coast, I plan to stay up quite late! CaliforniaPeggy Nov 2020 #121

I think Florida will be declared sooner. AmericanCanuck Nov 2020 #122

Nope. James48 Nov 2020 #123

Na. We will. Only way we don't is if Biden loses GA, FL & NC... Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #124

Not Really smb Nov 2020 #201

Impressive! honest.abe Nov 2020 #126

A friendly reminder about celebratory libations (some are better than others) ... Hermit-The-Prog Nov 2020 #127

Thank you for this. niyad Nov 2020 #131

Great analysis!! SweetieD Nov 2020 #128

Bookmarking niyad Nov 2020 #130

Trump rally today in North Carolina sets tone for his sinking campaign srose58089 Nov 2020 #132

This will be fun to follow. Thanks for the hard work! UCmeNdc Nov 2020 #133

This is great...one exception... 634-5789 Nov 2020 #134

Now that's what I call rizlaplus Nov 2020 #135

I hope so LeftInTX Nov 2020 #136

I'm keeping this thread open in my tabs. GoneOffShore Nov 2020 #137

Nice work DI! panader0 Nov 2020 #138

Very exciting narrative! Thanks for sharing that! NurseJackie Nov 2020 #139

Wow that was a lot of crystal ball work! bucolic_frolic Nov 2020 #140

Love it! ucrdem Nov 2020 #141

thanks nice work scarytomcat Nov 2020 #142

It would be fun to run this as an Election Results thread jimlup Nov 2020 #143

Slainte! Roisin Ni Fiachra Nov 2020 #144

Wait a minute, what about the other states? jaxexpat Nov 2020 #145

Bookmarked! I think Florida will be called between 11-12. Pacifist Patriot Nov 2020 #146

This is an amazing post - brilliant DIVINEprividence Nov 2020 #147

And they all lived happily ever after. 😊😊😊 dixiechiken1 Nov 2020 #148

I appreciate your efforts TNNurse Nov 2020 #149

This could be your first journal entry. Mosby Nov 2020 #150

Counting on you going 3 for 3... icnorth Nov 2020 #151

How do you download into a text file? BarbD Nov 2020 #181

Happy that Wisconsin puts him over. Borchkins Nov 2020 #153

I'll see it when I wake up in the moring. Or the mid-evening bathroom break oldsoftie Nov 2020 #154

I think your assessment fails on the West Coast brooklynite Nov 2020 #155

This seems like a realistic scenario mcar Nov 2020 #156

Here's DI's map as of 12:45 AM election night honest.abe Nov 2020 #158

This is Great. I hope you're right Beringia Nov 2020 #159

Thank you - now I can tune out on Tuesday night. Merlot Nov 2020 #160

Love it! ariesgem Nov 2020 #161

I hope you are right and yuiyoshida Nov 2020 #163

Thanks for saving me from watching all that. LOL! n/t Zing Zing Zingbah Nov 2020 #164

You left out: "At 7:04, Trump declares victory" zaj Nov 2020 #166

AM or PM? nt smb Nov 2020 #203

hahaha! zaj Nov 2020 #204

Seeing As How RobinA Nov 2020 #167

Make it so! Proud Liberal Dem Nov 2020 #168

I sure as hell hope you are right!! Aviation91 Nov 2020 #169

You forgot to add that Trump after Republicans fail to have Trump concede. LiberalFighter Nov 2020 #170

And then go SPLAT down onto the ground below. calimary Nov 2020 #174

Great scenario. BarbD Nov 2020 #182

Printed this out with check marks to use as my cheatsheet lettucebe Nov 2020 #171

Thank you! wryter2000 Nov 2020 #172

I feel the need to bookmark this one. calimary Nov 2020 #173

I'm not planning on watching TV at all Tuesday evening and night Catherine Vincent Nov 2020 #175

Wow, you put a lot of effort into that PatSeg Nov 2020 #176

Fabulous malaise Nov 2020 #177

Fascinating Analysis COL Mustard Nov 2020 #179

⭐️⭐️⭐️K&R ⭐️⭐️⭐️ spanone Nov 2020 #180

Thank you - bookmarked - k&r nt Clearly fogged in Nov 2020 #183

I'd love this so much that GOPBasher Nov 2020 #184

Not seeing it ... Rob_NC Nov 2020 #185

Just curious, how many Presidential election night returns have you seen? Roc2020 Nov 2020 #186

If I heard the news correctly, Arizona has already started ChazII Nov 2020 #187

So, with your detailed play-by-play, I can actually start drinking now. JustABozoOnThisBus Nov 2020 #188

kicking for visibility bdamomma Nov 2020 #189

K&R nt Javaman Nov 2020 #190

Bookmarked. I won't know what they comment on tv as I am doing on line only robbedvoter Nov 2020 #191

bookmarking angel823 Nov 2020 #192

made me laugh CountryFirst Nov 2020 #193

I'll go ahead and call Florida for Biden now absolutely smoking Trump. Ligyron Nov 2020 #196

Kick USALiberal Nov 2020 #197

Man that was so much fun reading proud patriot Nov 2020 #200

What's your prediction on the final number of EV's and spread? Polybius Nov 2020 #205

I hope your prognosis is correct. I don't think akbacchus_BC Nov 2020 #206

Bookmarking for later. n/t Yavin4 Nov 2020 #207

Kickety kick Roland99 Nov 2020 #208

Kick USALiberal Nov 2020 #209

Kickin' (n/t) Lock him up. Nov 2020 #210

Using it as a template: so far, ahead with Virginis being called for Biden robbedvoter Nov 2020 #211

See? Ahead robbedvoter Nov 2020 #213

So far, so good! RexLipton Nov 2020 #212

Kick Clearly fogged in Nov 2020 #214

Amazing! karin_sj Nov 2020 #215

Predicted at 8:30 EST : Biden-91, Trump-66. Actual : Biden-85, Trump-55. bullwinkle428 Nov 2020 #216

I am going to be off tonight, unfortunately. Biden is underperforming what I expected. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #218

Improvement: NM is called for Biden robbedvoter Nov 2020 #217

My respect grows with each passing moment! dchill Nov 2020 #219

Improvement: Colorado called for Biden by 🦊 robbedvoter Nov 2020 #220

You're pretty much on the timeline csziggy Nov 2020 #221

Yes but I was way off with important calls: Biden winning North Carolina & Michigan being called. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #222

Bummer. But why isn't he going to win if he pulls out MI WI and PA? Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #223

Because they're not going to be called tonight. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #224

Ok. But there's no way trump's hate rallies could erase the leads Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #225

Can Biden win w/o AZ? Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #226

He'll win Arizona. I am less confident about the rustbelt states. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #227

If he steals I think he'll steal WI. Just because I heard him Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #228

Trump is always one step ahead. UCmeNdc Nov 2020 #229

I always get flamed for saying this but sometimes I am Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #233

It is how he wins. The media communicates to his people on the ground how to act in unison. UCmeNdc Nov 2020 #230

It all comes back to PA UCmeNdc Nov 2020 #231

You were closer than some of the "experts" Ferrets are Cool Nov 2020 #232