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qazplm135

(7,654 posts)

2. no, it's not

Reply to Post removed (Original post)

Mon Nov 2, 2020, 11:08 PM

Nov 2020

their whole operation is assuming there are more Trump voters than the polls show.

There was some evidence of that in 2016, and even if that held into 2020, it assumes it is either MUCH bigger than it was in 2016 and/or that our side does not have significantly increased turnout.

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Post removed [View all] Post removed Nov 2020 OP

Right-wing pollster who has been extremely off since 2016. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #1

Trafalgar was the only poll to predict Trump would win Michigan. It got that right too. Doodley Nov 2020 #11

They have been a mess since 2016... Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #12

no, it's not qazplm135 Nov 2020 #2

Nah. Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #3

I paid attention in 2016. PA is vulnerable now. Doodley Nov 2020 #13

Sure it's vulnerable. Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #15

I hope so. Tomorrow is literally one of the most important days of my life and I'm sure for Doodley Nov 2020 #18

I hear you. Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #20

lol tman Nov 2020 #4

+100. N/t obnoxiousdrunk Nov 2020 #6

They got lucky in 2016 with 16% undecided. NutmegYankee Nov 2020 #5

FWIW, Nate Silver thinks there's no evidence of the "shy Trump voter" Trafalgar relies on. Music Man Nov 2020 #7

I agree. There's no reason that Trump has any new support. But there's cheating, voter suppression, Doodley Nov 2020 #16

They are actually off more than most pollsters. Got lucky in the rustbelt last time Quixote1818 Nov 2020 #8

Calm down. They also said... AkFemDem Nov 2020 #9

Despair despair despair Tom Rivers Nov 2020 #10

I don't know why people post the worst polls they can find but maybe it will doc03 Nov 2020 #14

Pre-election anxiety. Doodley Nov 2020 #17

And of course you decided to make the rest of us anxious too? LisaL Nov 2020 #21

The head of trafalgar was on Hannity today brettdale Nov 2020 #19

Loses all credibility as an independent pollster. Doodley Nov 2020 #22