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Celerity

(55,073 posts)
14. I have only missed 1 state so far (NC, which I had Red until this morning, went with a hunch, badly)
Tue Nov 3, 2020, 10:54 PM
Nov 2020

In 2016, I missed 2 states

FL (had it Blue, learnt my lesson there)

and MN (had it Red, which it almost was by a few thousand votes)

I won my uni class pool (needless to say, unfortunately)

I drill down to district level and its showed (in 2016) a huge flow of working class whites breaking late for Rump, Comey and the huge Obamacare rate increases (long forgotten, seldom discussed but had a negative poll impact right before and during Comey) played a massive role, and also I saw depressed A-A turnout coming then in 4 cities, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Detroit, plus Chicago and Minneapolis, which did not matter)

this year, too many variables (COVID-19 nightmare, plus systemic election fraud attempts by the Rethugs on an Olympian level) to be as precise via a scientific analysis

This was my final 2020 map

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