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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)

16. They are not late arriving votes.

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:57 AM

Nov 2020

The state can't start counting mail-in votes until election day. They had a choice, run an active vote election of count main votes. They chose to run election day and report election day vote count. The mailin ballots were close to 3:1 democrat to republican and about 2:1 democrat to republican/independent. So unless Trump piles up close to a 20 point lead today, he won't win the state unless a good amount of democrats break for him, and early estimates were that was not happening. Also, a good number of the republicans that voted by mail defied Trump's instructions, it is possible that a decent percentage of their votes are for Joe.

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Breakdown of PA mail votes still to count by registration [View all] DrToast Nov 2020 OP

If they break out that way, Biden picks up 860k votes...nt SidDithers Nov 2020 #1

I've read other sources say it's actually 2.2 million ballots DrToast Nov 2020 #4

Unless Biden wins that 11%, it won't be enough to overcome Trump's lead. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #6

Can I see your math? DrToast Nov 2020 #14

1.6 million Democrats voted by mail Drahthaardogs Nov 2020 #17

Excellent! MLAA Nov 2020 #2

Exit polls in PA also look good for Biden Renew Deal Nov 2020 #3

MSNBC is reporting something hinky going on in a few counties Bev54 Nov 2020 #5

Can you explain? Sugarcoated Nov 2020 #11

MSNBC didn't explain MissB Nov 2020 #13

That definitely looks good. But dang it, we shouldn't have to be doing these calculations to keep Hoyt Nov 2020 #7

So then Trump takes the late counts back to court? IvanMascervesa Nov 2020 #8

These are ballots already received DrToast Nov 2020 #9

They are not late arriving votes. Blue_true Nov 2020 #16

This message was self-deleted by its author Doodley Nov 2020 #10

If you assume all Repubs and Inds voted for Trump... tarheelsunc Nov 2020 #12

Early estimates on the early mailin vote was that 12% of Blue_true Nov 2020 #18

That would give Biden about a 200,000 vote lead if he gets 70% of that. nt Quixote1818 Nov 2020 #15