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Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)

12. I read a couple years ago that Trump did have a hidden

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:15 AM

Nov 2020

Enthusiasm/GOHV ability that gave him a hidden boost. That he could win a place if he had a 45% (ironic #) approval. That was the magic number. Why I've closely followed his approval #s for four years. Last preelection avg on 538 was 44.6. in the end, this may indeed pan out. He came up slightly shy of 45 and he will end up slightly shy of winning too.

Many of his followers think he is a messiah. And he knows they will do what he asks. Preelection he was asking them to find 9 people and get them to go vote. Like if God came down and appeared to you and asked you to do something, you'd do it.

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If you think that polling is bunk, then why are you wearing a mask? [View all] Yavin4 Nov 2020 OP

Go back and look at the 2018 polls. Ace Rothstein Nov 2020 #1

Where are the results in our favor? n/t Yavin4 Nov 2020 #2

NV and AZ Senate Ace Rothstein Nov 2020 #5

The MOE swung in Trump's favor in both states. Yavin4 Nov 2020 #8

Polling like all statistics are only as good as your inputs. I felt like FL was going to be hlthe2b Nov 2020 #3

True. That's why a consensus is the key. Yavin4 Nov 2020 #4

And I read too that in 2016 non-college educated people were Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #11

As you say, Wellstone ruled Nov 2020 #9

My apologies to SurveyMonkey. Buckeye_Democrat Nov 2020 #6

While I don't totally dismiss Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #7

Polling models can be off, though... SidDithers Nov 2020 #10

I read a couple years ago that Trump did have a hidden Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2020 #12

Apples and Oranges StarryNite Nov 2020 #13