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Jarqui

(10,909 posts)

19. I used the prevailing % rates for each candidate in each county and

Reply to Jarqui (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 10:24 PM

Nov 2020

extrapolated the votes for each candidate when Joe was behind 40,000 or so.

It calculates to Joe gaining 84,000 more votes than Trump.

I ignored the 3rd candidate because I did not have that data easily.
So 84,000 slightly overstates Joe's projected pickup.

But if it's absentee ballots, that probably more than offsets ignoring the 3rd candidate because Dems do very well with absentee ballots.

This state is definitely still in play and Joe has a very decent shot of winning it.

If Joe wins this, it gets really hard for Trump to steal the election in the courts.

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According to The Guardian, Biden is just 37K behind Trump in GA but Fulton is in. Can that be right? [View all] Music Man Nov 2020 OP

According to the Guardian, DeKalb hasn't reported all votes yet. Kaleva Nov 2020 #1

You'll have to show me where you see that. Music Man Nov 2020 #3

I made an error, First posted Fulton County but it's DeKalb that hasn't fully reported yet. Kaleva Nov 2020 #5

OK, thanks! Still wondering what's up. Music Man Nov 2020 #6

plenty of other places left qazplm135 Nov 2020 #2

Atlanta is in Fulton County but immediately east of Atlanta is DeKalb County DemInBuckhead Nov 2020 #4

That's very helpful! Thank you. Music Man Nov 2020 #9

I live in Dekalb County CatWoman Nov 2020 #11

Grew up there, decades ago. Hoyt Nov 2020 #18

Actually there a dinky little part in Clayton County too. KentuckyWoman Nov 2020 #15

Fulton elections supervisor said their results wouldn't be in until close to midnight wishstar Nov 2020 #7

Fulton still has 7% more to come according to CNN Jarqui Nov 2020 #8

And in all of these, it's early/absentee ballots that are being counted... SKKY Nov 2020 #17

I used the prevailing % rates for each candidate in each county and Jarqui Nov 2020 #19

I'm not certain because NYT is reporting the same vote totals in those counties but says In It to Win It Nov 2020 #10

Fulton County Director of Elections says they're still counting votes greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #12

About 120K votes left in Ga oswaldactedalone Nov 2020 #13

CNN says that Ga's Sec of State says 122,500 ballots still to count, half from Fulton Goodheart Nov 2020 #14

Yes. But DeKalb County is not all in. TrishaJ Nov 2020 #16