Reminder: NBC Estimates there are almost 18 Million uncounted ballots

[qdouble]

7. Okay, so I ran the numbers...

538 Polling Average

Arizona - 2.6% Biden - Still Possible
Florida - 2.5% Biden - This is going to be off 3 or 4 points
Georgia - 0.9% Biden - Still possible that it's close to this
Iowa - 1.3% Trump - Seems way off right now, but may get closer with 8% uncounted
Michigan - 8% Biden - Going to be off by about 5%
Minnesota - 9.2% Biden - Still Possible
Nevada - 5.3% Biden - Still possible if most of the remain vote is for Biden
New Hampshire - 11.1% Biden - With 99% counted, this is off about 4%
North Carolina - 1.8% Biden - Still Possible if remaining vote favors Biden
Ohio - 0.8% Trump - Trump is at 8.1% but this will shrink with 10% uncounted
Pennsylvania - 4.7% Biden- Trump up 2.6%, but this can come close if it swings back to Biden with the last 11% of the vote remaining
Texas - 1.1% Trump - Trump is up 5.9% but this can shrink with 4% of the vote remaining
Wisconsin - 8.4% Biden - This seems way off as Biden will win by less than 1%

So the biggest misses are: Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida and possibly Iowa. The rest will likely be accurate or within the margin or error.