Conor Lamb won his race

[appmanga]

45. I wholly agree with this...

...there are anomalies that continue to not make sense regarding polling and results. Biden easily won Maine, so why would the polling be so off for Susan Collins? This isn't a case of pollsters reaching people who didn't want to admit to voting for Trump. And Sara Gideon did a huge disservice to her supporters with her rapid concession with many more votes to count in a ranked choice election and Collins barely over 50 percent.

In North Carolina, where the Democratic governor had an easy re-elect and Democrats narrowly won statewide offices as Attorney General and Secretary of State, did those voters decide to either largely split ticket vote for Tom Tillis, or not vote for Senate at all (the governor's race, so far, has 25,000 more votes cast)? Polling consistently had Cunningham between two and four points up, but he winds up significantly trailing what other statewide running Democrats did.

In Georgia, the Democratic candidates (Ossoff and Warnock) strongly overperformed their opponents in the mail-in vote. Trump always gives away the game, and this race (and the Pennsylvania race) show why Trump has spread so much disinformation about vote-by-mail; because, opposite to what he's said, it makes it harder to manipulate results. The Postal Service slowdown still had an effect in Georgia and NC.

All the discussion about how off the polling has been refuses to embrace Occam's Razor: the simplest explanation is usually the correct one. To me, the simplest explanation is manipulation. And not necessarily from a foreign actor.

A much deeper dive needs to be taken into these contests from top to bottom. I'm not into conspiracy theories, and fantabulous thinking. These scenarios are, at the least, odd, and beg for true scrutiny.