General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Exactly what Senate seats were we supposed to win? [View all]Celerity
(43,527 posts)races where our best candidates ran.
I had us losing Jones, but flipping 6 (so a 52-48 majority)
CO, AZ, MT, and
IA, NC, ME all 3 had weak candidates and it hurt us badly
IF Sibelius had run, we had a great chance at KS (see below)
and I was split on GA Regular (and Ossoff can still win it)
I warned for ages that Schumer and Cortez Masto did a poor, poor recruiting job, and it ended up burning us far harder than I had imagined it would
The 3 where we did run the best, we won two of three, CO and AZ, and lost in MT, partial due to Bullock being cash starved due and unable to counter 50m in late RW adverts ludicrously calling him a commie, as people pissed away over 300 million on three fantasyland races, TX and KY and SC, some of which should have went to aid Bullock, who was left helpless after leading for a good chunk of the race, and was an extremely popular 2 term governor in a red, red state. Until the last 2 or 3 weeks, I thought he would win. Gutted he did not. I maxed out to his campaign. Daines is moronic POS, one of the 5 least intelligent Senators, along with Ernst, Hyde-Smith, Ron Johnson, and Blackburn. All 5 are low, low intellect cretins.
the other 10
NC (Foxx, Stein, and especially Jeff Jackson, all far better than Cunningham, even without the sexting scandal)
GA Reg (Stacey Abrams or Sally Yates) we still may win and Abrams did huge lifting in other ways, so not irate with her at all
GA Spec (Abrams or Yates) we still may win, let's all hope so
IA (Vilsack (very popular 2 term governor and also 8 years as US Sec of Agriculture) or Cindy Axne would have been better than the weak Greenfield)
ME (Rice would have been far better than Gideon, same for Hannah Pingree, Chellie Pingree's daughter and also the ex speaker of the Maine House, the youngest one ever, and also better would have been US Dem House rep Jared Golden from ME-2, who won re-election in a district Trump carried again with ease. All three would have taken out Collins IMHO. Wild card. Stephen King, who was thinking about it, and decided not to. Also Chellie Pingree herself.)
TN (Open seat, Tim McGraw has now twice, in 2018, when he likely would have won, and then 2020 turned down OPEN seat races after promising he would run, so angry at him, especially for 2018, Blackburn was a nutter and with the Blue Wave McGraw would have taken her out IMHO, instead we ran the fossil re-tread Bredesen, who blue himself up the first month of the campaign by saying he would have supported and voted for the drunky-rapey Kavanaugh, the exact same thing McGrath did too, to disastrous effect for both of them)
KS (Open seat Sibelius was not only the only Dem who could have won, she likely would have won, it was the opinion of the major Kansas newspapers, even though RWNJ Kobach lost the primary, Marshall was weak. Very mad at her for refusing to run)
and the three reaches
AK (ex US Senator Begich refused to run, and we did not even field a candidate, instead indie Al Gross ran)
TX (Beto looked at Cornyn and passed, Hegar was weak)
KY (Andy Beshear would have been best, but he ran and won Governor. Booker would have been stronger than McGrath IMHO, and if the primary was 2 to 4 weeks later, he who have beaten her, she bollocks it from the start by saying she would have supported and voted for Kavanaugh, smdh. Adkins, Conway, and Steve Beshear (Andy's father and an ex governor would have done better as well, IMHO)