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mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)

16. It's fine all the dumps the last few days have favored Trump

Wed Nov 11, 2020, 08:41 PM

Nov 2020

But they've been under 60% Dump damn near every time.

As you probably know these are mail-in ballots that were dropped off at polling places/dropboxes on the day of election itself. So you got the GOPpers that were convinced by Trump not to use mail-in (but still used their mail-in ballots) and to vote ON election day ... but that's offset by the Dems who wanted to use mail-in ballots ... but didn't trust the mail, and lagged until election day.

Every dump has been 40-50% Biden for days. Trump needs like 70% of everything left.

Not gonna happen.

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Great news AZ just had a 5000 vote dump (or I guess you call it a "drop") [View all] Eliot Rosewater Nov 2020 OP

Ty, Eliot! SheltieLover Nov 2020 #1

Why isn't CNN calling AZ? What are they waiting for? Chichiri Nov 2020 #2

Still not over...i watch this all day long...nerve wracking Eliot Rosewater Nov 2020 #3

I'm satisfied we'll win, but not satisfied... Chichiri Nov 2020 #5

FOX is the Fascist Oligarch eXtremists network -- promoting the agenda of sociopathic billionaires Hermit-The-Prog Nov 2020 #22

States are called all the time when they aren't done counting Silent3 Nov 2020 #26

Biden's lead in AZ is small and it keeps going down. LisaL Nov 2020 #27

Well TimeToGo Nov 2020 #31

Why would CNN call it when it's that close? LisaL Nov 2020 #9

I would like to see Biden get over 300 EV's ... aggiesal Nov 2020 #34

I am pretty confident Biden will take Arizona. still_one Nov 2020 #4

trump needs 68.3% of the remaining 35,599 votes Roland99 Nov 2020 #6

No way. triron Nov 2020 #24

"Way" Roland99 Nov 2020 #25

I remember those days well. triron Nov 2020 #30

are they gonna do a recount? Doesn't seem close enough mucifer Nov 2020 #7

AZ doesn't do recounts unless the difference is several hundreds ballots. LisaL Nov 2020 #8

Yeah 50/50 not enough for dumpy. Every time him misses the threshold it makes it higher. Statistical Nov 2020 #10

Heading to 75/25. Never gonna happen. n/t CincyDem Nov 2020 #15

AZ sos site says just over 40 K left. triron Nov 2020 #11

That vote dump was from Pima County oswaldactedalone Nov 2020 #12

We will know much more after the Maricopa dump tonite. triron Nov 2020 #13

50/50 from Pima County is not very encouraging. marybourg Nov 2020 #14

It's fine all the dumps the last few days have favored Trump mr_lebowski Nov 2020 #16

Thanx. Appreciate the reassurance. marybourg Nov 2020 #17

92% Pima, 8% Yavapai Dem2 Nov 2020 #18

Is Yavapai red? LisaL Nov 2020 #19

64-35 Trump according to CNN Dem2 Nov 2020 #20

For sure! triron Nov 2020 #23

Yavapai is red but it's a small county oswaldactedalone Nov 2020 #21

Good news Eliot. K&R Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #28

TY! Cha Nov 2020 #29

Thanks for keeping us up to date on AZ!!!!!!!!!!! nt USALiberal Nov 2020 #32

Let's not assume. These recounts across states could get 45 into a hail mary position. ancianita Nov 2020 #33

Arizona does not do recounts unless the margin in very tiny. GulfCoast66 Nov 2020 #35

Well that's true of any of the battlegrounds, right? ancianita Nov 2020 #41

Nope. LisaL Nov 2020 #50

Good to know. I'm relieved that 200 is the threshold. Thank you. ancianita Nov 2020 #52

It's over...it really is...and that is ME saying it... Eliot Rosewater Nov 2020 #36

Haha love ya. Sorry, not even you can convince me with 33 days out 'til the certification deadline. ancianita Nov 2020 #39

Because Nevada went for Biden ... aggiesal Nov 2020 #40

By my count, he needs only AZ, GA, MI and WI. PA's totally out by law. ancianita Nov 2020 #42

Big Maricopa dump coming up (maybe in 1/2 hr) triron Nov 2020 #37

Jesus, nerve WRACKING Eliot Rosewater Nov 2020 #38

Yeah! It is! Good news shouldn't be nerve wracking, should it! ancianita Nov 2020 #43

Massive nearly 13k dump Dem2 Nov 2020 #44

Excellent news from the Maricopa vote dump oswaldactedalone Nov 2020 #45

Yep Eliot Rosewater Nov 2020 #47

Right now Biden has dropped from 12,828 yesterday to 11,635 today. ancianita Nov 2020 #46

No he's got this, there's a reason they called it Way back when Eliot Rosewater Nov 2020 #48

As long as "he's got this" doesn't put him in the recount zone. That's all I want. ancianita Nov 2020 #49

Arizona only recounts in the few hundreds as a margin greenjar_01 Nov 2020 #51

GA didn't have to recount the race. LisaL Nov 2020 #53

That is one reason I am sure IsItJustMe Nov 2020 #56

Great. I'm feeling better about AZ. ancianita Nov 2020 #54

CNN hasn't called AZ for Biden though today a couple of outlets did Catherine Vincent Nov 2020 #55