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Act_of_Reparation

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73. Post hoc ergo propter hoc.

Thu Nov 12, 2020, 08:22 AM

Nov 2020

It never used to be a problem before Trent Reznor cut his hair. It doesn't mean the two are related.

There are two major problems with polling as it stands: 1) There is a statistically significant segment of the population that straight up won't answer phone calls from unrecognized numbers (I am one of them), and 2) There is a statistically significant segment of the population that hates the media and is therefore unlikely to respond to polls, specifically.

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Exactly what Senate seats were we supposed to win? [View all] keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 OP

We won the two seats Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #1

Yeah I saw we keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #6

Iowa is filled with moronic mouth-breathers Bettie Nov 2020 #55

I hear you. Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #57

NC and Maine Rice4VP Nov 2020 #2

I mean Collins is flakey keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #10

Cunningham if he had kept it in his pants exboyfil Nov 2020 #3

That is so crazy keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #12

Our candidate in Iowa Greenfield is a nice woman exboyfil Nov 2020 #15

That's too bad keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #17

Agreed on Cunningham. He should be forever shunned by NC Dems. JanMichael Nov 2020 #45

North Carolina felt like the best bet to flip outside what flipped. And that was it. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #4

Yes but Maine still kinda surprised me. Turin_C3PO Nov 2020 #9

Polls had a huge amount of undecideds. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #11

yep keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #19

good points keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #13

And several someones are going to be counting all 5 million of those ballots exboyfil Nov 2020 #18

so true keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #20

It is a painful experience for Georgia exboyfil Nov 2020 #21

oh interesting keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #28

We could have picked North Carolina, but our candidate turned out to be a LisaL Nov 2020 #41

Seems Cunningham was interested in other types of flips exboyfil Nov 2020 #47

There was a reason he reminded quite a few people of Edwards. LisaL Nov 2020 #49

It's not that Graham won over Harrison in SC that disturbs me so much, crickets Nov 2020 #62

It seems all Cunningham had to do was zip it SomedayKindaLove Nov 2020 #5

I think he would have lost anyway. Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #8

He was leading in the polls even after the scandal, but I think it hurt him in the end. cwydro Nov 2020 #74

yeah keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #14

The Senate was always a long shot...we needed to win in red and more red than purple states. Demsrule86 Nov 2020 #7

Right keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #16

Dems did have a tsunami DeminPennswoods Nov 2020 #23

I find it odd keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #26

Media must have SOMETHING to talk about. Ferrets are Cool Nov 2020 #22

yeah I guess keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #24

Using that analogy, I packed up my things and walked out long ago Ferrets are Cool Nov 2020 #59

True enough keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #60

I m very bullish on GA BlueInPhilly Nov 2020 #25

It will keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #29

Collins and Tillis were behind in the polls edhopper Nov 2020 #27

I wonder about these polls keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #31

Many of us edhopper Nov 2020 #34

The last Des Moines Register poll had Greenfield down exboyfil Nov 2020 #36

Thanks edhopper Nov 2020 #42

Tillis was not behind by much more than the MOE. Drunken Irishman Nov 2020 #44

It was very poor recruiting by Schumer and Cortez Masto, we had only 3 of 13 remotely flappable Celerity Nov 2020 #30

IA - We might have lost Axne's seat as well exboyfil Nov 2020 #33

yes, Axne was sort of a toss-in on my part (not that I do not rate her), deffo Vilsack or Franken Celerity Nov 2020 #46

I had us losing Jones but gaining 4. CO, AZ, ME, NC In It to Win It Nov 2020 #37

Celerity that is pretty keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #52

I have been posting on this since mid 2019, saw it comig from a mile away, but I still Celerity Nov 2020 #54

Exactly keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #56

CO, AZ, ME, NC... and a fifth somewhere to make up for Doug Jones In It to Win It Nov 2020 #32

I think MT BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #35

You're right! I forgot about MT but truthfully, I never thought we would win in MT In It to Win It Nov 2020 #40

I don't know why not? BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #48

Bullock was doing well until he got buried with 50m USD plus RW dark pool money slamming him Celerity Nov 2020 #50

North Carolina and Maine Ace Rothstein Nov 2020 #38

"The election was pretty much a disaster outside of defeating Trump" BumRushDaShow Nov 2020 #51

keepthemhonestO-Senate seats I thought we'd flip.... Upthevibe Nov 2020 #39

ok I'll watch for it. keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #53

This message was self-deleted by its author Upthevibe Nov 2020 #43

Murkowski wasn't running this year Polybius Nov 2020 #58

oh right keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #63

Both Maine and NC should have been won dsc Nov 2020 #61

right and wasn't it keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #64

actually they did kick the candidate off the ballot so they got to run a cleaner candidate dsc Nov 2020 #65

Oh did they? keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #67

yeah it worked like this dsc Nov 2020 #69

yep keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #70

I don't know about "bashing", but there is a problem with how we analyzed these campaigns. Act_of_Reparation Nov 2020 #66

It never used keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #68

Post hoc ergo propter hoc. Act_of_Reparation Nov 2020 #73

Completely keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #75

Yeah, that's fascinating. Act_of_Reparation Nov 2020 #76

There were predictions that we would have 60 seats. former9thward Nov 2020 #71

In hindsite keepthemhonestO Nov 2020 #72