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Latest Discussions»General Discussion»We have 50 more days to J...»Reply #1
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In reply to the discussion: We have 50 more days to Jan 20 and 150,000 infected daily avg and a 3% death rate that's ... [View all]

genxlib

(6,138 posts)
1. If the math holds
Reply to uponit7771 (Original post)
Wed Dec 2, 2020, 04:59 PM
Dec 2020

We are looking at ~4000 deaths a day for an extended period of time.

Math is undefeated.

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We have 50 more days to Jan 20 and 150,000 infected daily avg and a 3% death rate that's ... [View all] uponit7771 Dec 2020 OP
If the math holds genxlib Dec 2020 #1
+1, I'm thinking that's after Jan 10 where the BASELINE deaths per day is 4000 uponit7771 Dec 2020 #10
How will no ICU beds effect this FreeState Dec 2020 #13
+1, I did not factor in lack of throughput at hospitals causing higher death rates other than the.. uponit7771 Dec 2020 #16
Turns out that this pandemic will kill more people in the US than the one in 1918 malaise Dec 2020 #2
Numbers wise, yes. roamer65 Dec 2020 #6
True but given the advances in science and technology malaise Dec 2020 #7
Absolutely correct. roamer65 Dec 2020 #9
Yep, we're truly not doing much different than in 1918 despite a man being on the moon uponit7771 Dec 2020 #11
And this is not going to turn on a dime. It will take Joe some months to get it under control. Squinch Dec 2020 #3
A lot depends on vaccine acceptance NickB79 Dec 2020 #4
It will probably get near normal again after winter 2022-2023. roamer65 Dec 2020 #8
What Did I Miss? ProfessorGAC Dec 2020 #5
From worldometers (link) looks like they're using the "Cases With An Outcome" measure ... uponit7771 Dec 2020 #14
The 7-day average new cases hasn't been that low since Nov 14-15 :( Ms. Toad Dec 2020 #12
I was trying to baseline the numbers throughout Jan with shut downs in the major states ... uponit7771 Dec 2020 #15
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»We have 50 more days to J...»Reply #1
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