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ancianita

(43,313 posts)
13. They have a pattern of returning, too. The bigger picture is the pattern of midterm wins.
Fri Jan 29, 2021, 12:06 PM
Jan 2021

Part of the trending 2022 picture seems to be with women.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republicans-2020-gains-in-the-house-set-them-up-well-for-2022/

The rest might depend on whether old midterm voting patterns hold. Which is why we have to fight like hell for the next two years.



If Democrats had added five to 10 seats this year, they could have survived a 20-seat loss in the midterms. Instead, Republicans will probably need to win fewer than 10 seats to gain a slender majority in 2022.

On top of this, Republicans could very well benefit from the new district lines that will be drawn ahead of the 2022 midterm elections. The GOP is set to fully control redistricting for about two-fifths of all House seats, while Democrats will only hold sway over one-tenth of them, with the remaining seats are in states with divided governments or where redistricting is done by a commission system. The Republican line-drawing advantage should help the party draw favorable maps that could help the GOP win more seats than we might otherwise expect.


We can notice some numbers we'd like to believe, but imo, we need to act as if we're 30 points down.

Because that's how Trumpcult rolls it out until 2022 and beyond.
They live for the fight. They don't care about anything else but the win.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Oh geez . . . Iliyah Jan 2021 #1
So basically they're a shrinking minority then sboatcar Jan 2021 #2
For Putin to lose Russia.... Turbineguy Jan 2021 #3
Clearly, thou knowest thy literature! RobertDevereaux Jan 2021 #4
In the name of democracy and of humanity itself... RobertDevereaux Jan 2021 #5
Grievance politics. Always the victim, never at fault for anything... Wounded Bear Jan 2021 #6
In other breaking news, water is wet JHB Jan 2021 #7
Republicans are metamorphosizing into full blown deranged Nazi lunatics. Roisin Ni Fiachra Jan 2021 #8
Game on. C_U_L8R Jan 2021 #9
Yes, they get mad when they don't get their way. eShirl Jan 2021 #10
I thought Lintball was sick. The sooner he shuts his pie hole the better judesedit Jan 2021 #11
The cult will rally round him...the rest are leaving the party Thekaspervote Jan 2021 #12
They have a pattern of returning, too. The bigger picture is the pattern of midterm wins. ancianita Jan 2021 #13
I think 2022 won't follow normal midterm patterns. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #14
Well, how it's worked ancianita Jan 2021 #16
I do understand what's happened in the past. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #18
If you act for 2022 the way you did for 2020, that will be a good thing. ancianita Jan 2021 #20
I definitely will. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #22
Maybe check in with a busy Democrat I know ancianita Jan 2021 #23
Binary Circuits. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #24
Cool. He's the local computer guy. Does personal computers and commercial systems ancianita Jan 2021 #25
Yes!!! This needs to be an OP and stand alone. redstatebluegirl Jan 2021 #15
All we can do is Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #17
We can do more -- we can consistently stay on message. The same message. Every single day. ancianita Jan 2021 #21
Fuck their feelings. BusyBeingBest Jan 2021 #19
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