psyching people out...
=== from KOS
Because it is not possible that whatever movement we're seeing towards Romney right now is an ephemeral bounce? Because yours is the only poll in existence, and no others showed Obama exceeding the 46% mark in any of these states? Because two nights ago PPP didn't show Obama leading with 50% post-debate? Because, oh I don't know, even if you're right and a huge shitbomb just exploded in those three states, other mitigating factors can't impact the race in the next four weeks?
Nope. Those three are done. No more polling.
OK. So even if there were a somewhat justifiable rationale for pulling all polling from these states, is there no hint of journalistic integrity in you at all? Do you have no sense that by making a pronouncement like that, you are actually creating a media narrative that impacts the state of the race? <----- [stupid rhetorical questions]
Is there any reason at all that anyone can think of, any rational and understandable scenario, where a pollster 4 weeks before an election would declare 3 states that have been very much in play for the entire year, and for most of this time trending in the President's favor, would blithely write them off with absolutely no justification other than appealing to numbers from previous polls? Now granted, as I said I have no background in statistics. But is past performance any reliable indicator of future performance? Pretty sure I heard somewhere that past performance has zero bearing on future outcomes.
= new reply since forum marked as read
