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coalition_unwilling

(14,180 posts)

11. The primaries after April 1 are 'winner-take-all' as I understand it. That said, DUer GrantCart

Reply to Pab Sungenis (Original post)

Wed Jan 11, 2012, 12:30 AM

Jan 2012

Last edited Wed Jan 11, 2012, 11:48 PM - Edit history (1)

did some preliminary analysis in earlier threads that supports your hypothesis, i.e., that it will be all but impossible for any candidate to secure a majority of delegates on the first ballot.

The question, of course, is whether the also-rans can stay in and quasi-competitive until April 1. If they do, thereby denying Romney any significant delegate advantage, then it's a whole new ball game.

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Why the New Hampshire results are bad news for Romney [View all] Pab Sungenis Jan 2012 OP

I'd hypothesize that Romney would have won a slam dunk in NH in Huntsman's absence OmahaBlueDog Jan 2012 #1

Re: Iowa. There were (according to what I read) also errors in Santorum's favor. NYC Liberal Jan 2012 #6

Draft Jeb? That would be bitter. Nt xchrom Jan 2012 #2

He's as good as a local boy and he still couldn't cut it. MADem Jan 2012 #3

I've been sorta half-predicting a brokered convention, and Jackpine Radical Jan 2012 #5

normally, I would go with Jeb Dan Jan 2012 #10

If three or four candidates make it all the way to the convention... racaulk Jan 2012 #4

Reading too much into it. Nobody gets 50% in a 6 way field. n/t ddeclue Jan 2012 #7

Only the early states are going to award their delegates proportionally. tritsofme Jan 2012 #8

You nailed it DonCoquixote Jan 2012 #9

The primaries after April 1 are 'winner-take-all' as I understand it. That said, DUer GrantCart coalition_unwilling Jan 2012 #11

Not all of them. Some (I don't know which) are proportional, but... Pab Sungenis Jan 2012 #12