Joe Biden will be

[Drunken Irishman]

36. Your reply to mine is the reality, tho.

You said it's a big risk for a one and done presidency. This isn't to suggest Biden alone can fix it but to play to the realities:

The EC favors the GOP no matter how well Democrats do nationally. Because of this, it's very very likely 2024 will again be a close election. Biden, as the incumbent, is best positioned to win due to that incumbency, since there is a huge advantage to being an incumbent.

Biden is also a well liked guy who seems to be able to build the type of coalition of voters Democrats will need to keep the White House, specifically suburban and urban - but more importantly, Biden made up ground with white men, doing better than Hillary in 2016.

As an incumbent, I also think he'll be less prone to being defined as a socialist, which hurt him in 2020 with pockets of the Hispanic community. I say this because many of those Hispanics who voted Trump will have experienced Biden's presidency and probably will feel more comfortable at the thought of a second term than they would with a more unknown Democrat, even if that Democrat is Harris.

Biden is best positioned because he's an incumbent ans history tells us Democrats don't have a great track record of holding the White House with a non-incumbent presidential candidate.