Gallup Poll Crosstabs - R+22 in the South

[cthulu2016]

11. That is not unreasonable, and not a problem with the poll

The problem with the poll is that it has Romney up by 6% nationally due to Gallup's particular likely voter screen.

But whatever the right number is, the disparity between the south region and the other regions is huge. Is the true disaprity between south and west 28% total? We don't know... but it's in the 20's. Even if Obama wins in a landslide that difference between the south and everyone else will still be there, except it would be something like WEST O+15 SOUTH R+14.

The census uses four major divisions of the country and pollsters weight their responses by region, so the southern sample is counted as 32% of the total because that is the correct percentage of the electorate in the south (the most populous of the four regions)

Again, I am not saying +22% is correct. I am saying that the huge difference between the south and the other three regions is correct. In a poll Obama is winning a huge regional disparity will remain.

I think it is great news that even in a bad poll Obama is leading in three of the four regions.