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DemocratSinceBirth

(101,930 posts)

13. The rosiest scenario

Sat Nov 6, 2021, 02:47 PM

Nov 2021

The withdrawal from Afghanistan goes smoothly, there's no inflation and shortages, the pandemic is under control, and Congress passed Joe's infrastructure bill. Even in this hyperpartisan era, Joe's approval would be in the mid-fifties. The right-wing crazies would care about this culture war stuff but their numbers aren't nearly large enough to sway an election.

If we are there next Fall we have a 50/50 shot of defying the mid term jinx and holding the House and Senate.

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I wonder if Terry would have won ... [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 OP

Possibly MustLoveBeagles Nov 2021 #1

You could well be right a month earlier would have helped bottomofthehill Nov 2021 #2

It would have been hard to portray Biden as incompetent, weak, etc. empedocles Nov 2021 #3

Hopefully things will be better by the mid-terms. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #4

Hopefully . . . will learn from these unnecessary losses. empedocles Nov 2021 #6

I see some criticism of him as a candidate DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #9

I think the criticism of him as a candidate is as misplaced, maybe more so, spooky3 Nov 2021 #17

I take It you're a Virginian. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #18

I live in NoVA, and I agree with you. Nt spooky3 Nov 2021 #19

He ran away from the successful record of Democrats in Virginia the past two years. onenote Nov 2021 #34

I also would have much preferred for him to do spooky3 Nov 2021 #36

Good point. Nt spooky3 Nov 2021 #10

I think so. Racism and lies contributed, but people's perceptions that spooky3 Nov 2021 #5

The culture wars are what got TFG elected. Without KPN Nov 2021 #7

How many of the idiots NoRethugFriends Nov 2021 #8

We beat the TFG by ten point there last year and Northam beat Gillespie by 9 in the last gov race. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #11

Yes, it would have swayed at least one in a hundred. Beakybird Nov 2021 #12

The rosiest scenario DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #13

I can't see ANY President having a mid 50's approval after the "Honeymoon Period" WarGamer Nov 2021 #15

Doubtful. WarGamer Nov 2021 #14

There was a bigger falloff from 2020 in NJ but Murphy had a bigger cushion. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #16

Exactly. And Dems lost the Lt Gov and Attorney General spooky3 Nov 2021 #21

It likely made a very small difference at the margins. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #26

Totally agree. Dem turnout was good, but Rep turnout went WAY spooky3 Nov 2021 #29

I think Joe Biden's answer - which was essentially that we can not know karynnj Nov 2021 #20

Ads like those you described were ALL OVER the TV in NoVA spooky3 Nov 2021 #22

Thanks - I had not read that and was not in that area karynnj Nov 2021 #24

Please, no apology! One of the ads showed Youngkin telling spooky3 Nov 2021 #32

Biden was at 43% approval in VA exits. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #23

Also young voters didn't turn out as well either. triron Nov 2021 #30

Agree we can't know. We CAN know right and wrong, though. nt Hortensis Nov 2021 #25

And what if all the good news on the economy (jobs and unemployment) had come out? triron Nov 2021 #27

Maybe those job numbers plus getting Hav Nov 2021 #28

Highly unlikely. But Terry might have done better if he had run on how well Virginia is doing onenote Nov 2021 #31

Youngkin framed the budget surplus as showing Virginians' taxes were too high. Nt spooky3 Nov 2021 #35

Jonathan Lemire suggested on MSNBC Qutzupalotl Nov 2021 #33

A lot of us thought that, too--the one silver lining. Nt spooky3 Nov 2021 #37

I agree it wasn't the CRT not really, this is about racism and white supremacy PortTack Nov 2021 #38

The culture war crap didn't prevent us from winning VA by 10 points in 2020 DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2021 #39

Whose to blame? Girl powers Nov 2021 #40

Who's not whose, sorry it's VERY early in the am. Girl powers Nov 2021 #41