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ColinC

(11,098 posts) Sun Nov 7, 2021, 03:35 PM Nov 2021

NJ Gov: Dem now leads by bigger margin in NJ than Rs in VA [View all]

NJ margin is 2.6, VA is 2.5.

Albeit there is still a percent or two to count in NJ in mainly Dem areas so it could still come out to more.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/11/02/us/elections/results-new-jersey.html

53 replies

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NJ Gov: Dem now leads by bigger margin in NJ than Rs in VA [View all] ColinC Nov 2021 OP

Gee, I heard on TV that Youngkin won a resounding victory, and Murphy barely squeaked by Walleye Nov 2021 #1

Right? I must have something wrong ColinC Nov 2021 #2

Sort of like when TFG called 306 electoral votes a landslide Walleye Nov 2021 #3

And when Biden also got 306 EV's, the media called it close! Polybius Nov 2021 #4

There was nothing close about the popular vote, though. Prof. Toru Tanaka Nov 2021 #14

Well considering Murphy led in the polls by nearly ten points... Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #6

So the polls were wrong. They often are Walleye Nov 2021 #7

Yup. Gotta figure out how we nearly lost a reliably blue state. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #8

All true. Walleye Nov 2021 #10

Losing off year elections after presidential elections for the president's party ColinC Nov 2021 #12

Nope. No one expected losing NJ - or that it would be closer. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #16

Ok you are right about the polls in NJ but the polls in VA were actually closing ColinC Nov 2021 #23

The polls narrowed closer to the election ColinC Nov 2021 #9

Nope. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #19

The pre-election polls generally showed Murphy with between 49 and 51 percent. onenote Nov 2021 #11

The margins were not close. At all. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #17

The polls missed Ciaterrelli's support onenote Nov 2021 #24

Which is even more damning. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #25

I'm not suggesting the result wasn't bad onenote Nov 2021 #27

I beg to differ. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #34

Not really lees1975 Nov 2021 #43

Youngkin seemed consistently very close to McCauliffe. lagomorph777 Nov 2021 #48

All the media wants to do is attack the Democrats and portray repukes are for the kimbutgar Nov 2021 #5

Yep JustAnotherGen Nov 2021 #13

Who Cares? SoCalDavidS Nov 2021 #15

I would not trust a poll ever again, they are a mess. sunonmars Nov 2021 #18

not so much in terms of predicting the NJ Dem's per cent, in that they were pretty damn accurate Celerity Nov 2021 #28

GOP's Ciattarelli Digs In Despite Murphy's 65,000-Vote N.J. Lead -Another asshole who won't concede spanone Nov 2021 #20

But isn't NJ a dark blue like +20 D State? WarGamer Nov 2021 #21

No. (n/t) SMC22307 Nov 2021 #22

Interesting you did not give the stats. former9thward Nov 2021 #29

thanks, I suspected something like that! WarGamer Nov 2021 #36

Yes former9thward Nov 2021 #30

Yes but with a very strong history of electing republicants ColinC Nov 2021 #31

THIS. LowerManhattanite Nov 2021 #44

+16 D, and yes, other than fat fuck Christie the Rethugs haven't won state-wide for 24 years Celerity Nov 2021 #32

Presidential GOP candidates usually run far to the right of the state. Governor candidates do not. ColinC Nov 2021 #39

Not when it comes to Governors JI7 Nov 2021 #33

Beyond Christie, no Republican has won that state in 20 years. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #35

Your post demonstrates quite well that historically NJ is not a +16 D state for governors ColinC Nov 2021 #38

Only one Democrat has won by fewer than ten points - Murphy this past November. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #40

Sure. But the claim being debated is whether it is a +16 D state ColinC Nov 2021 #42

The claim is more correct than not. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #45

Just because you have a partisan advantage in registration ColinC Nov 2021 #47

No but the history of New Jersey certainly points to that. Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #49

You are absolutely right. ColinC Nov 2021 #50

I do agree. I wish Jack Ciattarelli was more of that mold... Drunken Irishman Nov 2021 #52

Since Philly is still South Jersey's media market BumRushDaShow Nov 2021 #51

omg! Doom & Gloomers Cha Nov 2021 #26

K&R Scurrilous Nov 2021 #37

K&R UTUSN Nov 2021 #41

We were supposed to win NJ comfortably from the outset. n/m BradAllison Nov 2021 #46

I like to think anything above 51% is comfortable ColinC Nov 2021 #53