“This is not good news for Mitt Romney,” (with up dated confirming data re SC) [View all]

[grantcart]

Last edited Thu Jan 12, 2012, 06:14 PM - Edit history (2)

Edited to add that PPP is tweeting that SC Santorum supporters are leaving for Gingrich.


@Nate_Cohn SC voters are now dropping Santorum for Newt. Earlier polling had suggested the reverse.

If the latest polling is correct then Romney is in big trouble.

His lead in South Carolina is gone and he is running third place in North Carolina

http://chronicle.augusta.com/news/aiken/2012-01-11/sc-poll-mitt-romney-has-small-lead-over-newt-gingrich

As the GOP presidential nomination race settles into South Carolina, Mitt Romney isn’t enjoying the double-digit lead he held in New Hampshire, according to a survey conducted Wednesday night.

The former Massachusetts governor’s lead is so small in the Palmetto State that he’s essentially tied with Newt Gingrich, according to a poll conducted for The Augusta Chronicle by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research.

Romney’s 23 percent and Gingrich’s 21 percent fall within the 3.6 percent margin of error. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who came in second in the Iowa caucuses is in third place in South Carolina with 14 percent, while Texas Congressman Ron Paul, the runner-up in New Hampshire, is effectively tied with him at 13 percent.

. . . .



“This is not good news for Mitt Romney,” said Towery, who chaired several of Gingrich’s congressional campaigns before becoming a nonpartisan pollster. “There is no other way to put it. This means it is a dead-even race. South Carolinians couldn’t care less about New Hampshire or Iowa.”

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/11/nc-2012-primary-25-gingri_n_1199950.html

2012 President: Republican Primary
25% Gingrich
24% Santorum
22% Romney
9% Paul
4% Huntsman
4% Perry
1% Roemer


Given that Romney's only compelling argument is that he is inevitable and can win elections he will have to come up with something big if these polls are correct.

If they are correct they will prove my long standing prediction that this will not be decided during the pre convention period but will be decided at the convention, even though almost no one else thinks that this is even remotely possible. This civil war is going to go on and on and on.