General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: NJ Gov: Dem now leads by bigger margin in NJ than Rs in VA [View all]Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)There is a significant partisan advantage for Democrats in New Jersey. That doesn't mean fluke elections don't happen. There are anomalies in every state (see Alabama electing a Democrat Doug Jones to the senate) but at the end of the day, there are one-million more registered Democrats in New Jersey than Republican.
Total, about 40% of New Jersey voters are registered as Democrats, with only 23% registered as Republicans. That means there is a 17 point partisan gap there, just as the poster said.
It doesn't mean every election will amount to the Democrat winning by that much, or even average out to that margin but it does mean they start with a significant advantage compared to the Republican, which is why the Democrat, when they win, typically wins big. Except for last Tuesday.