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In reply to the discussion: Omicron wave will crash on US with 60% of people infected by March and 140 MILLION new infections - [View all]Ms. Toad
(38,717 posts)8. This is misleading because of people's math illiteracy
Omicron will cause more infections but lower hospital rates, analysis shows
Marginally lower hospitalization rates multiplied by dramatically higher number of infected people will result in a much larger number of people in the hospital. We are bursting at the seams now.
Globally, the analysis projected that the world will see 3 billion or more infections over the next three months, which is as many as the entire two years of the pandemic, said Dr. Chris Murray, director of the university's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.
It is too early to have reliable numbers on hospitalization, but one estimate I've seen is 1/3 as many.
So - assuming that is correct (a ginormous assumption) - we would have the equivalent of 7.3 months' worth of hospitalizations a month. (The hospitalizations were not evenly spread over the 3 years, so it won't be quite as bad as that sounds - but we don't have spare capacity around here to absorb even a fraction of a month's extra hospitalizations.
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Omicron wave will crash on US with 60% of people infected by March and 140 MILLION new infections - [View all]
Klaralven
Dec 2021
OP
the lethality rate for any of the variants was never close to 1%, and Omicron will have a far lower
Celerity
Dec 2021
#20
Your assumptions are not based in science, and also, another point, you are not taking into acount
Celerity
Dec 2021
#32
Are you serious? How dare you accuse me of being a RWer when I am simply using
Celerity
Dec 2021
#31
you are WAY out of bounds, and breaking TOS, I am NOT some fucking closet RWer, its bullshit
Celerity
Dec 2021
#36
your 1.4 million new deaths number is ridiculous and not science based, it is pure fear mongering
Celerity
Dec 2021
#39
you cannot find a single credible scientist who says that the case fatality rate in the US for
Celerity
Dec 2021
#41
Its just bizarre to claim a huge new, never before seen 1.4 million strong death wave coming, caused
Celerity
Dec 2021
#46
You absolutely will be wrong, by a massive amount. I almost never make definitive statements, but
Celerity
Dec 2021
#48
+1, This is what pisses me off about the current group think on omnicron seeing there are 2 other
uponit7771
Dec 2021
#26