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[The Magistrate]

50. What You Seem To Fail To Take Into Account, Sir

Is that there are a good many of the smaller 'red' counties, and they do add up.

This link is to an article where, on scrolling down a ways, you will find a reliable table on total deaths in New York State, broken down by county:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_New_York_(state)

It looks to be roughly sixteen thousands out of sixty thousands have died in the city's counties, so about three quarters of the deaths occurred elsewhere in the state. I've no idea how this squares with the city's proportion of the state's population. These figures, note, are for the entire course of the outbreak, and a great fraction of urban deaths occurred early, before vaccines and improved methods of treatment.

It is well established that rates of death are higher in 'red' counties, but if these are taken in aggregate, the population subjected to the higher rates is of comparable size to urban populations. It is also well established that vaccination rates are lower among the 'red' populace, and that the greatest proportion of deaths are of unvaccinated persons.

I would consider a wager more persons who voted Trump are dying at present of the disease than persons who voted for Mr. Biden to be of investment grade.


"Talk abut some gamblers, oughta see ol' Richard Lee. He shot one thousand dollars, and come out on a three."