Julian Castro 2016 POTUS

[TBF]

40. Demographics in TX (key is the youth) -

An article from Kos early this year that lays it out. 2016 is likely too soon for Julian - a race for Governor or being selected as a potential VP candidate would be more likely. But this is definitely good news for anyone who looks at Texas and thinks "hopeless". In fact sometimes I feel that way! But the youth here may turn the tide to blue ... just give them 15 years. Julian is 38. It's unreasonable to look at him as a strong candidate for 2016, but the possibility is there down the road.

Projecting Texas: The coming Democratic plurality
Mon Jul 30, 2012 at 07:11 AM PDT

First, a little bit of background on Texas demographics. As of the 2010 census, the state was about 45% white, 38% hispanic, 11% black, and 6% other, mostly Asian. That's compared to 53/32/11/4 in 2000. State's getting less white, more hispanic. But you knew that ...

Okay, there you go. If this diary is offering a prediction, this is it. And what this prediction says is that Texas ought to be on the cusp of competitiveness by 2024 - and, though the numbers don't go this far out, it's clear that the state ought to have a gen-u-ine Dem+ PVI by 2028. A slight one, but still.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/30/1114634/-Projecting-Texas-The-Coming-Democratic-Plurality