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Cheezoholic

(3,942 posts)
10. I dont put a lot of weight in actual poll numbers but
Sat Jul 2, 2022, 10:48 AM
Jul 2022

you can spot trends with them. The trends up on 538 over the last couple weeks point to one thing. In the words of Carville its the economy.

And I can tell you it is and has been the number one topic locally for the last month. If something doesn't get done to get prices down soon (yes I'm aware only so much a pres can do) the Dems are gonna have a tough road in Nov. Ever since prices started going up the trend has gone to repukes on general ballot polls and Biden's favorable ratings have plummeted. The problem is, even with Roe, the 1/6 hearings, those trends aren't moving much. Its the damn economy. And repukes are playing it like a fiddle saying all this other stuff, 1/6, bitching about Roe, bitching about SCOTUS, bitching about elections all are the left trying to divert attention away from a sour economy. It's their favorite trick, because it works.

Also Fat Nixons approval ratings are just as bad as Biden's, but interestingly,, approval ratings for both parties are about the same but they are as low as Bidens and Fat Nixons.

To me all of that points to 2 things, the economy and an electorate that's getting fed up with politics. We live in a materialistic self centered society. This economy is going to kill us if something doesn't start to change. imho

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Waste of money to conduct these irrelevant polls now Hav Jul 2022 #1
Maybe it's the same poll that Trump was using when he found out he had won the election DFW Jul 2022 #2
Jon Ossoff greymattermom Jul 2022 #3
The poll in 2020 phylny Jul 2022 #4
I wasn't talking about the midterms. DFW Jul 2022 #5
Just found it. Poll is from Emerson College. Elwood P Dowd Jul 2022 #6
They're a reputable poller /NT Abnredleg Jul 2022 #7
No they are not. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #17
FiveThirtyEight ranked Emerson as 4 th best pollster on 2020 womanofthehills Jul 2022 #50
Did you look at the sample? And as other have pointed out, it is way to far in the future for Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #53
Its important to note Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #11
The usual suspects in the media are flogging this poll. It serves to depress Democratic support lapucelle Jul 2022 #8
I wonder how they phrased the question karynnj Jul 2022 #9
I dont put a lot of weight in actual poll numbers but Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #10
3 separate generic ballot polls released earlier this week give Dems the lead with a margin of PortTack Jul 2022 #12
I'm not picking polls Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #19
The six most recent are a mix. former9thward Jul 2022 #24
Honestly, how can the bad economic news, inflation and crashing stock market, change? I mean these emmaverybo Jul 2022 #49
And yet wryter2000 Jul 2022 #13
I agree.. though they think he should be charged, they'd vote for him?? lol! halobeam Jul 2022 #15
The poll I saw said 48% TheFarseer Jul 2022 #16
Polling on Trump is like 42% positive Polybius Jul 2022 #23
I watch MSNBC, but understand that their programming Deminpenn Jul 2022 #14
A reality check here on the accuracy of polling...spoiler alert... they aren't PortTack Jul 2022 #18
No they are not Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #20
Yes a bunch of polls may be more accurate and show trends...having said that if they aren't accurate PortTack Jul 2022 #22
Thats why hurricane forecasts are derived Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #28
Interesting...seems you understand quite a bit about statistics PortTack Jul 2022 #33
And where did I say that? Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #38
Sorry...you just seemed quite knowledgeable in your reply..didn't mean any offense PortTack Jul 2022 #45
Yet you cite them in this thread when you like the results? former9thward Jul 2022 #26
Where did I cite them that I liked the results? Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #30
Check the post. former9thward Jul 2022 #32
lol sorry, the lines blurred n/t Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #39
Not really... PortTack Jul 2022 #34
Your post: former9thward Jul 2022 #37
I also said this in another post/reply. Clearly stating I'm not much on polls PortTack Jul 2022 #41
Just found this from the Emerson site..... Elwood P Dowd Jul 2022 #21
It's an Emerson College poll released yesterday Polybius Jul 2022 #25
Poll would be wrong. LiberalFighter Jul 2022 #27
Whether or not the poll is accurate, it's crazy making that it's even CLOSE!!! LAS14 Jul 2022 #29
It's one poll n/t Cheezoholic Jul 2022 #31
I can't find anything recent but in 2010, Dysfunctional Jul 2022 #35
Interesting....I believe I have seen that before as well. PortTack Jul 2022 #42
After the effort to throw TFG out treestar Jul 2022 #36
GQP sabotage is working? moondust Jul 2022 #40
Landline poll. MineralMan Jul 2022 #43
☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️☝️ PortTack Jul 2022 #44
I cancelled my landline phone five years ago. MineralMan Jul 2022 #47
What polls like this show is that inflation and higher interest rates are hurting Biden andym Jul 2022 #46
That poll also says 12% would vote for someone else standingtall Jul 2022 #48
people like Rusty Bowers and Bill Barr who say they would still vote for him if he's the nominee IcyPeas Jul 2022 #51
Anybody who takes stock in polls is a fool Novara Jul 2022 #52
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