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Polybius

(21,639 posts)

74. PredictIt has Biden at 36 on who will be the Democratic nominee

Tue Jul 5, 2022, 10:30 PM

Jul 2022

While it doesn't mean much, that is historically low.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

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Will Gavin Newsom run for president in 2024? Here is Newsom's ad running in Florida. [View all] RKP5637 Jul 2022 OP

Nope. I don't see it happening. He'll be in his second term as CA Governor. n/t CaliforniaPeggy Jul 2022 #1

Both Reagan and Brown ran for president while in office Bucky Jul 2022 #5

I'm not sure that matters much. BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #11

I hope so. OLDMDDEM Jul 2022 #2

If Biden doesn't run I'd be interested in seeing him run BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #10

I agree OLDMDDEM Jul 2022 #21

No, we need Democrats who can win running for office period. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #33

There's already been polling for Newsome. He wins. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #79

I call bullshit. First of all way too early; Secondly...he will never win the rustbelt...Never. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #86

He isn't going to primary Biden. He wouldn't do that. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #89

Wishful thinking on your part. Biden will seek a second term...he knows the history of incumbents Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #90

If Biden wants a second term I'm good with that. It's not like I don't want him to run again. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #91

I do not like 2024 threads. Focus on this year. Tetrachloride Jul 2022 #3

+++. It is just wasted speculation for so many reasons. Right now the focus needs to be on winning JohnSJ Jul 2022 #13

It would be incredibly awkward for the party Sympthsical Jul 2022 #4

Candidates can't be chosen by who's turn it is. enough Jul 2022 #6

How things should be vs. how things are Sympthsical Jul 2022 #24

Interesting tidbit: they're two separate people Bucky Jul 2022 #7

I think you need to look at the states we need, Neither Harris or Newsome will win the rustbelt and Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #32

Every incumbent Democratic VP has had a primary opponent since Humphrey in 1968 Doc Sportello Jul 2022 #23

Harris dropped out on Dec. 3rd 2019 Sympthsical Jul 2022 #27

I'd rec your response if I could. Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #34

She dropped out because she was faring poorly in the polls with black voters Doc Sportello Jul 2022 #39

Totally agree I was with Warren first also Tree Lady Jul 2022 #57

That's probably true Doc Sportello Jul 2022 #59

Me too after Trump the country is so much worse Tree Lady Jul 2022 #60

Right...and they all lost. I don't want to repeat that pattern. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #35

I'm beginning to think there are already some contingency plans. Joe might retire. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #80

Not if he's smart PJMcK Jul 2022 #8

Yes, it surely will be a shit show in 2024. Hopefully the elections this year will start to RKP5637 Jul 2022 #12

Too early to speculate BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #9

ISWYDT.... Docreed2003 Jul 2022 #14

Yes, otherwise known as barf inducing arrogance BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #15

... Docreed2003 Jul 2022 #18

Mayor Bloomberg is busy. Lol. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #82

No. He KNows We Already Have A Candidate Me. Jul 2022 #16

I hope Harris will not run...she was not doing well in the primary in 20 and dropped out. And the Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #36

I Like Her But Joe Said He's Running & I believe HIm. Me. Jul 2022 #41

I am talking about 28. And I doubt Liz will run as a Democrat...Fetterman can run then. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #54

No LIz Will Run As A Conservative Me. Jul 2022 #55

Liz Cheney?? Hard to beat?? WarGamer Jul 2022 #92

It Would Be A Mistake To Count Her Out Me. Jul 2022 #95

Correct. She supports a nationwide aboprtion ban. totodeinhere Jul 2022 #98

I doubt Newsom would challenge Biden. Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #56

On top of that, the press is Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #46

I know. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #52

Interesting News From 538 Regarding Our Veep Me. Jul 2022 #83

I do not believe a word of that...and looking ag the numbers...I am right. Those are very soft. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #84

I Cannot Agree Me. Jul 2022 #85

Unless that candidate is pondering not running for a second term. Let's face it. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #81

We can't talk about this!11 BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #17

If he runs there will be some very sharp knives out. sdfernando Jul 2022 #19

If she hasn't done that yet when he ran for governor, Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #47

Why is this post even here? Biden is running and has said so. brush Jul 2022 #20

The ads in Florida have made this a news story Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #26

This is premature, divisive crap. IMO it should be taken down. brush Jul 2022 #30

How is it divicive? They are both Dems. Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #31

Not with an incumbent running everytime f'ing time that happens, we lose. SO NO. You just don't Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #37

Do you have any idea of what happened the last time a sitting Dem... brush Jul 2022 #40

An invitation to disaster? Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #48

Is it not clear what I'm saying? Primarying a sitting Dem... brush Jul 2022 #51

Nothing written on DU will invite disaster Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #61

That's idiocy. It's apparently you know little of history. brush Jul 2022 #64

I know most of what is written here is little noted nor long remembered Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #67

In that case you must know that if Biden, a sitting president, is primaried... brush Jul 2022 #71

Are you under the impression Jimmy Carter lost because of Ted Kennedy? Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #75

SOMEDAY...not 2024 Freddie Jul 2022 #22

I think he's exploring the idea Algernon Moncrieff Jul 2022 #25

He will run again health permittiing as it is for the good of the country...and it is a hope not a Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #29

PredictIt has Biden at 36 on who will be the Democratic nominee Polybius Jul 2022 #74

You don't care for Biden...and it meaningless at this point...so I will simply ignore such things. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #76

I never said that Polybius Jul 2022 #77

It is a constant...Biden won't run almost a drumbeat. Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #88

No, he would lose the rustbelt. And if Biden runs, no one else should run or we will lose as has Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #28

He is running. former9thward Jul 2022 #38

If he runs in 24 against Biden. I swear I will never vote for him a primary ever...because we will Demsrule86 Jul 2022 #63

I doubt anyone would run against Biden. former9thward Jul 2022 #65

No. Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee in 2024. (eom) StevieM Jul 2022 #42

If Biden runs, Newsom will not. No need to pull a Ted Kennedy. madinmaryland Jul 2022 #43

He'd definitely make a way better president than Ron DeShithead! Initech Jul 2022 #44

Are we expecting Biden will change his mind about running sarisataka Jul 2022 #45

I thought Biden is running. ... but Newsom is running ads in FL against DeSantis. Wondering what's RKP5637 Jul 2022 #49

A good question. n/t ChazII Jul 2022 #50

I just updated my post to show the ad he's running in FL. I was surprised. n/t RKP5637 Jul 2022 #53

I think someone in our party has to try to take Tree Lady Jul 2022 #58

Yes!!! n/t RKP5637 Jul 2022 #68

Joe Biden will be our nominee in 2024 and he will win reelection. Just A Box Of Rain Jul 2022 #62

Golly. We sure have a lot of people who can see into the future with so much clarity. BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #66

Yeah, lol ... amazing n/t RKP5637 Jul 2022 #69

That's just fox crap spin rockfordfile Jul 2022 #70

Nope. Not happening. Xolodno Jul 2022 #72

look, if he's going after DeSantis his ass BETTER be running JuJuChen Jul 2022 #73

I think it's entirely possible. gldstwmn Jul 2022 #78

Looks like he's already running? kentuck Jul 2022 #87

Could be Baggies Jul 2022 #93

He won't run if Joe is running. roamer65 Jul 2022 #94

I guess the old saying applies, "Time will tell." n/t RKP5637 Jul 2022 #96

Yup, true. roamer65 Jul 2022 #97

If a cucumber runs on the Dem ticket Ill vote for it. dclarston13 Jul 2022 #99

Yeah, same here!!! n/t RKP5637 Jul 2022 #100