General Discussion

karynnj

(60,969 posts)

82. Is it possible the general election was why leadership backed him?

Sat Jul 30, 2022, 02:02 PM

Jul 2022

She narrowly lost in the primary. Let's assume they were equally popular among Democrats and his margin was people relatively indifferent between them. However, the general election is everyone.

You could argue that she might fire up more Democrats to come out to vote. She might also fire up more Republicans/swing votes against her. I would bet the party and possibly outside polls polled the general election especially during the run off.

If those polls exist, they COULD test the hypothesis that someone to the left in a purple district would do better (Or a counter hypothesis that the centrist incumbent would do better. Obviously, you can't assume that this one district would be like all other districts.

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david hogg on dems: "Burned a lot of bridges yesterday my only regret is that I didn't do it sooner. [View all] orleans Jul 2022 OP

He is from Florida isn't he ? Has he shown support for Val Demings ? JI7 Jul 2022 #1

The only thing I find a little sad is that she doesn't mention in her commercials jimfields33 Jul 2022 #18

Gwen would have smoked DeSatan. nt Phoenix61 Jul 2022 #81

He's an ageist so I'm sure he thinks she's too old. BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #99

Rather young to be burning bridges Tetrachloride Jul 2022 #2

I imagine watching his classmates die and his fear for theirs and dewsgirl Jul 2022 #16

Yes, I think you are right. Karma13612 Jul 2022 #36

To be single issue treestar Jul 2022 #120

He first got into this because of gun violence. He had a Karma13612 Jul 2022 #37

His parents are Republicans if I recall? mzmolly Jul 2022 #123

Which EU country is he talking about ? Hungary ? JI7 Jul 2022 #3

You mentioned one of the few exceptions... Violet_Crumble Jul 2022 #8

Immigration policies are dictated in part by geography DFW Jul 2022 #22

California is more liberal than Florida. It's the people that make up JI7 Jul 2022 #23

And being "more liberal" has nothing to do with being "furthest left." Just A Box Of Rain Jul 2022 #69

There's nothing wrong with being a socialist... Violet_Crumble Jul 2022 #112

There certainly is something wrong with being a socialist. Just A Box Of Rain Jul 2022 #119

I think your political system has a lot to do with it as well... Violet_Crumble Jul 2022 #111

By far. dewsgirl Jul 2022 #118

His world view is incredibly narrow agingdem Jul 2022 #9

He's had a hard time pulling away from his bothsiderism. GoodRaisin Jul 2022 #124

He's been told economic equality, nationalized health care and education will eliminate problems betsuni Jul 2022 #10

He hasn't been told anything of the sort Violet_Crumble Jul 2022 #12

Beers to the right? Beer is a universally beloved beverage. betsuni Jul 2022 #13

Just fixed it. My phone is crap.. Violet_Crumble Jul 2022 #14

Beer is full of purines lefthandedskyhook Jul 2022 #30

What does he mean when he says "we?" johnp3907 Jul 2022 #4

Reminds me of the old Steve Martin joke FrankBooth Jul 2022 #5

Regarding "furthest left", I might be the furthest left Tetrachloride Jul 2022 #7

True, if Hogg understood how lack of ground game messaging in CoC affected dems he'd focus ... uponit7771 Jul 2022 #27

Passionate one issue man RANDYWILDMAN Jul 2022 #6

The Same Mistake as Religions Roy Rolling Jul 2022 #11

Laws have never change minds. Boomerproud Jul 2022 #26

+1 treestar Jul 2022 #121

MAGAHATs think many R's are just like Democrats Kaleva Jul 2022 #15

Why doesn't he run for state legislature and show us how it's done? eShirl Jul 2022 #17

He needs age eligibility first jimfields33 Jul 2022 #19

What Exactly Willto Jul 2022 #20

I dunno, what makes Republicans experts on healthcare and women's health? ck4829 Jul 2022 #21

Destruction and obstruction don't require expertise Walleye Jul 2022 #25

He's exercising his First Amendment right to free speech. Mariana Jul 2022 #73

So Willto Jul 2022 #113

He didn't just "attend a school where a mass shooting took place." Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #74

What's this "we" stuff, lone ranger? Sympthsical Jul 2022 #77

The level of hatred for young people on this site is out of control. Mariana Jul 2022 #101

Yeah, what you quoted was an extremely shitty thing to say JonAndKatePlusABird Jul 2022 #106

That is the worst, I think Mariana Jul 2022 #107

Nope Willto Jul 2022 #114

+1 betsuni Jul 2022 #115

It's the counterproductivity that gets me... Steven Maurer Jul 2022 #125

"Just happened to attend school at a place where a mass shooting occurred." Mariana Jul 2022 #102

I Speak Truth Willto Jul 2022 #116

Attacking the wrong people NT Patton French Jul 2022 #24

I remember being young & idealistic. But... CousinIT Jul 2022 #28

So many populist myths. betsuni Jul 2022 #29

He hates Boomers, blames them for everything. Boomerproud Jul 2022 #31

Bold statement. Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #88

Can't blame him. Kid Berwyn Jul 2022 #32

Maybe he can join Andrew Yang's new party. panader0 Jul 2022 #33

Check it AntivaxHunters Jul 2022 #38

There are reasons there are Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #86

He has a pretty solid resume. Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #89

He has zero resume as an elected official. Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #91

Who cares if he's an elected official? You said "political resume" not "elected official resume" Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #95

I think the context of my post Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #97

+1 treestar Jul 2022 #122

He does not seem to realize that you have to have people Meowmee Jul 2022 #34

He got in Harvard because of his celebrity status dalton99a Jul 2022 #49

Who is paying for it Meowmee Jul 2022 #51

Yes, later in life Mr.Bill Jul 2022 #93

Exactly Meowmee Jul 2022 #110

Harvard also let Kayleigh Mcenany transfer there for law school JI7 Jul 2022 #60

Are you on the admission committee? Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #90

For the most part our elected politicians are older and have no stake in the future 20 years down Autumn Jul 2022 #35

No, Andrew Gillum was 40 years old when he ran for Governor. And there were many young candidates JI7 Jul 2022 #40

Did you miss "for the most part"? Governors don't vote on legislation. Autumn Jul 2022 #42

lol, So Governor's elections don't matter ? Governors SIGN legislation . If it's about actually JI7 Jul 2022 #46

No. You are talking about one thing, I was talking about another. For the most part our elected Autumn Jul 2022 #48

No, my point is made by the fact that Gillum lost to a right wing racist JI7 Jul 2022 #55

Moving the goal post. The point you made is he was young, not older and ran for Governor. Autumn Jul 2022 #61

Post removed Post removed Jul 2022 #62

You responded to my post and not one of your 4 responses have anything to do with my post. Autumn Jul 2022 #64

Your lack of reading comprehension is the problem JI7 Jul 2022 #65

Why is Al Gore still talking about global warming? Jimmy Carter still building houses? betsuni Jul 2022 #44

Clarification AntivaxHunters Jul 2022 #39

Who is we ? These are from conservative leaning districts. That strategy only works if they JI7 Jul 2022 #43

"We" meaning his followers on Twitter AntivaxHunters Jul 2022 #50

She lost to him. Cuellar would easily lose in most democratic JI7 Jul 2022 #53

Yes she did AntivaxHunters Jul 2022 #54

The fact he won the primary shows it's conservative JI7 Jul 2022 #56

I very much disagree AntivaxHunters Jul 2022 #70

Is it possible the general election was why leadership backed him? karynnj Jul 2022 #82

She lost to Cuellar because Rob H. Jul 2022 #75

She would have? AZSkiffyGeek Jul 2022 #104

I wouldn't vote for the AWB, either, David. SYFROYH Jul 2022 #57

Post removed Post removed Jul 2022 #41

It has nothing to do with Gen z or anything like this JI7 Jul 2022 #45

lol boy are you going to be in for a shock AntivaxHunters Jul 2022 #52

I've seen a lot of Gen Zers refute Hogg's recent rants... OneGrassRoot Jul 2022 #59

Screw him! Archae Jul 2022 #47

Is he wrong on gun control? Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #92

What exactly ARE his points on gun control? Archae Jul 2022 #100

Pulling the US more to the left is ok by me Deminpenn Jul 2022 #58

Attacking good Democrats doesn't result in us getting pulled more to the left. W_HAMILTON Jul 2022 #84

He gets a lot of slack from me, he lived through a very traumatic experience. bottomofthehill Jul 2022 #63

But he also has a problem with Pelosi becsuse of her age JI7 Jul 2022 #66

Another narcissist nini Jul 2022 #67

voting "the furthest left candidates we can in safe primaries" usonian Jul 2022 #68

It's not moving the Overton window if they don't win in the general. W_HAMILTON Jul 2022 #71

G 56 . . . Sympthsical Jul 2022 #72

That's exactly what I am saying! Initech Jul 2022 #76

what is he upset about? didn't the House just pass an assault weapons ban? Takket Jul 2022 #78

His petulant tweets were from before the vote, I think. SMC22307 Jul 2022 #83

Yes, thanks to him apparently. nini Jul 2022 #103

Everyday David Hogg reminds us he has Republican parents. krawhitham Jul 2022 #79

Well that didn't take long... sarisataka Jul 2022 #80

It is frustrating that his number one take away is not that this pretty much a party line vote karynnj Jul 2022 #85

All that hate will eventually consume him and he will burn out. BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #87

You mean his hate for gun control laws after seeing his friends shot at school? Cuthbert Allgood Jul 2022 #94

I bet it doesn't. BannonsLiver Jul 2022 #96

Recommended. H2O Man Jul 2022 #98

David's problem is he is to locked into the future. Texaswitchy Jul 2022 #105

David's problem is that he watched his classmates get massacred. nt, Mariana Jul 2022 #108

So. Texaswitchy Jul 2022 #109

Hogg isn't a household name and his burning bridges won't have ramifications Kaleva Jul 2022 #117