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fanfanois

(61 posts) Thu Oct 6, 2022, 09:47 AM Oct 2022

Trafalgar is determined to ruin Nate Silver's reputation [View all]

Today a new Trafalgar poll has Hochul. Leading the Republican by 2% in the reliably blue state of New York.

In the aftermath of the 2020 elections, Nate Silver gave Trafalgar an A minus grade.
minimizing the fact that conservative pollster had Trump winning almost every battleground state that Biden ended up winning.

Moreover, Nate Silver has not mentioned Trafalgar since 2021, despite obvious signs that he is just making things up, and will have one of the worst performances by any pollster in 2022.

You would think that a mathematician treated as God by the mainstream media would have seen the signs.

Link to tweet

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11 replies

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Trafalgar is determined to ruin Nate Silver's reputation [View all] fanfanois Oct 2022 OP

He didn't need any help ruining his reputation with me BannonsLiver Oct 2022 #1

I think they are going to have egg all over their face after the midterms. DestinyIsles Oct 2022 #2

They also have Shapiro and Mastriano almost dead even in PA durablend Oct 2022 #7

Pod Save America alluded to a methodology scandal at Trafalgar Fiendish Thingy Oct 2022 #3

Thank you! I've been shouting about this very thing for the last 2-3 election cycles PortTack Oct 2022 #4

Who is a reliable poll agrigator? edhopper Oct 2022 #5

if you are looking for other modelers/predictors, here are a bunch Amishman Oct 2022 #9

Thanks edhopper Oct 2022 #11

Trump broke Nate Silver budkin Oct 2022 #6

Nate has a loss column, too. I read Nate but he's a pollster/handicapper. marble falls Oct 2022 #8

Nate's real interest is sports betting. His politics polls have fallen off substantially...nt Wounded Bear Oct 2022 #10