General Discussion

Elessar Zappa

(16,385 posts)

34. It's really hard to believe

Mon Oct 17, 2022, 12:45 PM

Oct 2022

that the independent women went so far over to the Republicans in just one month. I take all polls with a grain of salt, including those that favor us. Polling just doesn’t seem to be accurate anymore after 2016, the Kansas abortion vote, the Palin race, etc.

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Latest ny times/siena poll show republican gains. I don't have access to The NY Times [View all] JohnSJ Oct 2022 OP

Here's the problem BeyondGeography Oct 2022 #1

Unfuckingbelieveable vercetti2021 Oct 2022 #4

If that is an accurate view of the majority of women in America, why should I fight for their JohnSJ Oct 2022 #6

This message was self-deleted by its author iemanja Oct 2022 #36

Women voting for anti-abortion candidates. Our nation is doomed. sarcasmo Oct 2022 #33

Yeah that data is bad Takket Oct 2022 #37

Seems correct, at least I hope so JohnSJ Oct 2022 #38

32pt swing in a month?? Bull-fcking-shit Roland99 Oct 2022 #39

The article is a criticism of the media rounding up poll numbers. Cattledog Oct 2022 #2

3.04 points: here are the actual numbers: 48.51 (rounding to 49) to 45.47 (rounding to 45) Celerity Oct 2022 #20

Does anyone really believe there was 32% swing in independent women voters MerryHolidays Oct 2022 #3

That puts things in a different light. I appreciate the context JohnSJ Oct 2022 #8

Here's the exact quote MerryHolidays Oct 2022 #10

Thanks JohnSJ Oct 2022 #15

no paywall links Celerity Oct 2022 #22

No absolutely not! Wasserman and other reasonable experts say those kinds of shifts only happen PortTack Oct 2022 #14

Wasserman is incorrect FBaggins Oct 2022 #28

Wasserman is one of the best...so no I don't agree with you at all. PortTack Oct 2022 #31

He is indeed... but that doesn't mean that this spin is accurate FBaggins Oct 2022 #32

Hey..you know what...what you just said is YOUR opinion I'm sure formed from what you have PortTack Oct 2022 #42

Only one of us claimed that their opinion was informed by an expert in the field FBaggins Oct 2022 #45

Why would I site this article? Regardless of what you call a minor novelist, the article is correct PortTack Oct 2022 #46

I don't believe it at all mcar Oct 2022 #35

Well I've been told ....... Lovie777 Oct 2022 #5

Likely voters is a better predictor MerryHolidays Oct 2022 #7

Pollsters have been struggling with LV midels Deminpenn Oct 2022 #40

Some problems with this poll DestinyIsles Oct 2022 #9

it's +12, but little chance my 18-29 cohort (I will be 26 by election day) is only Dems +12 Celerity Oct 2022 #25

I have no faith in the American people. betsuni Oct 2022 #11

We shouldn't BeyondGeography Oct 2022 #12

Yep Cosmocat Oct 2022 #13

The article you linked is mainly about poll methodology. Sympthsical Oct 2022 #16

Not much that can be done about inflation at this stage, and if people believe JohnSJ Oct 2022 #17

I'll say! moose65 Oct 2022 #18

Totally agree MacKasey Oct 2022 #19

I don't disagree Sympthsical Oct 2022 #21

it is also reactive, not proactive Celerity Oct 2022 #26

There is a correct answer to inflation HariSeldon Oct 2022 #24

I see the usual concern trolling here on DU over one flawed poll. DestinyIsles Oct 2022 #23

Welcome to DU Celerity Oct 2022 #27

The Times points out it is only three points and when you see their method...it is obvious Demsrule86 Oct 2022 #29

To summarize.. Deminpenn Oct 2022 #41

From what I've read, this shift is mainly due to ... Tennessee Hillbilly Oct 2022 #30

It's really hard to believe Elessar Zappa Oct 2022 #34

No way. budkin Oct 2022 #43

I've mentioned this before: we need to distinguish between "many" and "most"..... brooklynite Oct 2022 #44

The United States of Amnesia liberalmediaaddict Oct 2022 #47

the Dobbs decision was fresh and in the news all the time when Kansans voted. IcyPeas Oct 2022 #48