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Polybius

(21,921 posts) Fri Dec 9, 2022, 01:52 PM Dec 2022

2024 Arizona Senate race [View all]

We must nominate a great candidate and get behind him or her 100%. Sinema must not play spoiler. Think about this. The Republican is going to get 45-47% no matter what (Kari Lake is a good guess). I don't see many Republicans voting for Sinema, so we absolutely must do the same and unite behind our candidate. I know that all of DU will.

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2024 Arizona Senate race [View all] Polybius Dec 2022 OP

Gallego will be the nominee grantcart Dec 2022 #1

Does Arizona have a runoff like Georgia? Polybius Dec 2022 #2

No one has a run off like GA grantcart Dec 2022 #3

I think Louisiana does AZSkiffyGeek Dec 2022 #5

Yep. I think that they have a run off next week. It's a legacy racist tactic themaguffin Dec 2022 #17

No run-off AZSkiffyGeek Dec 2022 #4

Backing AZSkiffyGeek, both ChazII Dec 2022 #43

Kelly's ads were all Republican leaders and businessmen... AZSkiffyGeek Dec 2022 #45

True, n/t ChazII Dec 2022 #46

No run off. Just A Box Of Rain Dec 2022 #21

I don't think he can win statewide. Arizona is still to reddish purple. Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #11

Depends on 3 things grantcart Dec 2022 #16

I'll answer Polybius Dec 2022 #27

Agree with all points grantcart Dec 2022 #37

IMO that figure is much too high for republicans... brush Dec 2022 #6

I dropped it to 42% bare minimum in another post Polybius Dec 2022 #8

Arizonans Just Voted For Democrats Across THe Board Me. Dec 2022 #7

Yup, Arizona has gone from Purple to Light Blue Polybius Dec 2022 #10

No it hasn't. We barely won in most cases and we had January 6 and Roe...Sinema has done this Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #14

That was sorta the purpose of my OP (her running Third Party will be a huge issue) Polybius Dec 2022 #15

Well, I agree with you. We may have to keep her. Let her run on the Democratic ticket as an Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #18

We agree more than we disagree, hehe Polybius Dec 2022 #20

I see that and I believe people don't consider political reality in many cases. Everything is Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #31

Then The Major Netweorks Like CNN Need To Change Their Meme Me. Dec 2022 #39

No they did not. former9thward Dec 2022 #13

They voted against radical nut jobs. If they nominate Jeff Flake types we lose. grantcart Dec 2022 #19

In non-three way races Just A Box Of Rain Dec 2022 #26

We will have to go with Sinema or she will run third party and we will lose the seat and we can't Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #9

Do you think there's another option? Polybius Dec 2022 #12

No, a third party candidate will doom us. Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #22

this is just a huge assumption based on no evidence jcgoldie Dec 2022 #24

Did you see how close the Arizona races were? What do you think siphoning off even a few votes. Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #29

the assumption you are making... jcgoldie Dec 2022 #32

They are mostly independents that lean Republican. Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #34

well they didnt this year jcgoldie Dec 2022 #36

They are mostly independents that lean Republican. Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #35

how many registered Democrats are there vs Republicans in AZ? jcgoldie Dec 2022 #23

I want to say the percentages are around... AZSkiffyGeek Dec 2022 #25

But the independents lean right grantcart Dec 2022 #38

They don't vote for crazy R though AZSkiffyGeek Dec 2022 #40

Some do but a plurality doesn't. grantcart Dec 2022 #41

The reason we win in Arizona is Republicans vote for us too if they don't, we will lose. Demsrule86 Dec 2022 #30

no they dont. jcgoldie Dec 2022 #33

You are correct on the numbers but the endorsement of grantcart Dec 2022 #42

3 Person Race Likely R. 2 Person Race Lean D or Lean I LonePirate Dec 2022 #28

Let's keep working like the election is in a month. Sky Jewels Dec 2022 #44