Overheard a Republican in my local Subway today

[Genki Hikari]

57. Define "urban."

There are only 2 localities in Michigan that qualify as urban: Detroit and Grand Rapids.

Detroit metro counties went D, for the most part. In order of population size, largest to smallest:

The majority of Wayne County voted D.
The majority of Oakland County voted D.
The majority of Macomb County voted D.
The majority of Washtenaw County voted D.
The majority of Livingston County voted D.
The majority of St. Clair County voted R. They are 160K of the 4.36 million people in Metro Detroit.
The majority of Monroe County, 150K, voted R.
The majority of LaPeer County, 88K voted R.

So of 4.36 million people in the Detroit Metro area, three counties that don't even rate 10% of the metro population voted R. That's hardly "major urban counties" voting R. That's a punch of podunk barely-urbans doing it.

Do you want me to run the numbers for GR, too? Because it won't look any better.

Outside of those two locations, Michigan has a bunch of mid-size cities and small towns and some rural areas. Some went D, some went R. But urban, they are not.

So, no, IQ 4.5 didn't win urban counties. He won rural areas, small towns, and some mid-towns and ex-urbs. That's it.