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Zeitghost

(4,557 posts)

21. All those things were well known in 2022

Reply to Phoenix61 (Reply #5)

Sun Apr 16, 2023, 11:25 PM

Apr 2023

And we lost by 3 points.

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Two non-rightwing post-indictment GE polls: Biden +1 and Trump +1 [View all] reqd Apr 2023 OP

The world is absurd. Goodheart Apr 2023 #1

That it's not 60-40% is both depressing and horrifying Funtatlaguy Apr 2023 #2

Agreed! Silent3 Apr 2023 #13

This country is not going to survive much longer. Marius25 Apr 2023 #3

+10000000000000 roamer65 Apr 2023 #11

What kind of people answer calls from phone numbers they don't recognize? National polls are JohnSJ Apr 2023 #4

For a poll to be accurate they sample has to be accurate and it's not. Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #6

and I would argue most younger people do not answer calls from numbers they do not recognize. So JohnSJ Apr 2023 #7

Absolutely true. I don't either. If it's legit and important they'll leave a message. nt Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #14

same here JohnSJ Apr 2023 #16

Pollsters use modelling to account for sampling biases Silent3 Apr 2023 #12

The modeling has the youth age group very Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #15

I sincerely doubt that every pollster's modeling is off about the youth vote... Silent3 Apr 2023 #17

I'm sure they'll adjust their algorithms it's just going to Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #18

How do they count those who don't answer calls from unknown numbers, or don't answer polls? JohnSJ Apr 2023 #29

They obviously can't count *those specific* people who don't answer Silent3 Apr 2023 #31

I agree. It really comes down to a handful of states Buckeyeblue Apr 2023 #8

We were told the Nov. 2022 was going to be about abortion. former9thward Apr 2023 #19

I think it was about abortion Buckeyeblue Apr 2023 #45

We lost the House. former9thward Apr 2023 #46

But not by a large margin Buckeyeblue Apr 2023 #47

Unlike the Senate there are no second place prizes in the House. former9thward Apr 2023 #48

I made the same argument as you did in your title line in a thread about gun ownership. former9thward Apr 2023 #20

My question is how many people don't answer calls from unknown numbers or don't respond to JohnSJ Apr 2023 #33

People who answer calls from phone numbers they don't recognize Bettie Apr 2023 #25

AFAIK, YouGov does not poll by phone. Ms. Toad Apr 2023 #28

Apparently, none of those forecasters has any idea exactly Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #5

All those things were well known in 2022 Zeitghost Apr 2023 #21

We lost what by 3 points? nt Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #22

Yes, 3 points. Zeitghost Apr 2023 #23

I'm sorry, I don't know what you are talking about at all. Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #24

The popular vote for the House. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2023 #26

Thank you. nt Phoenix61 Apr 2023 #27

You're welcome. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2023 #37

GOP also had the worst showing by an opposition party since I believe WW1 shrike3 Apr 2023 #38

What's the IQ of someone who answers a call from an unknown caller? usonian Apr 2023 #9

YouGov doesn't poll by phone. Ms. Toad Apr 2023 #30

I stand corrected. usonian Apr 2023 #41

Um, that's not true. Some of us do business with a lot of individuals, from both known and unknown ecstatic Apr 2023 #51

" If Trump wins and with the Senate almost certainly turning Republican in 2024 according to..."" LakeArenal Apr 2023 #10

No Electoral College, it would be difficult for Republicans to win the Presidency. Deuce Apr 2023 #32

Low post count, bad news shrike3 Apr 2023 #34

Thank you. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2023 #35

Quite honestly, after 2022 I'm ignoring polls shrike3 Apr 2023 #36

Too early to worry about polls. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2023 #39

Oh, I agree, way too early. But this particular poster, and I'm probably breaking rules shrike3 Apr 2023 #40

Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2023 #42

You don't pay much attention to politics? shrike3 Apr 2023 #43

What did I miss? DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2023 #49

Poster wanted to know which senate race I was talking about. shrike3 Apr 2023 #53

lol obamanut2012 Apr 2023 #44

The senate has a lot higher chance of flipping than... jcgoldie Apr 2023 #52

I agree. Only the die-hards. shrike3 Apr 2023 #54

People I've talked to have an issue with Biden's age, which is crazy ecstatic Apr 2023 #50