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progree

(13,081 posts)
19. There is a causal relationship in this case --
Fri Jul 7, 2023, 06:06 AM
Jul 2023
Another good job report another bad day at the stock market


according to media and pundits. It solidifies predictions that the Fed will raise interest rates again, and the stock market never likes interest rate increases. Core inflation has been stuck for several months at more than 2 X the Fed's target -- see the blue bar charts for core inflation --

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143095224#post3

Although the more official and comprehensive jobs report comes out in 2 1/2 hours -- the Bureau of Labor Statistics's jobs report. See my #18 below about that and compared to the ADP jobs report that came out Thursday (in the OP). Anyway, the BLS report is what the Fed and the market are going to be focussed on today and the days and weeks to follow.

Currently (at 618 AM ET, before the BLS jobs report release), there is a 90% chance that the Fed will raise interest rates in late July, according to the FedWatch tool
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

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