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CaptainTruth

(8,267 posts)

31. Actually, some polls have been very accurate in recent elections.

Reply to WVGal1963 (Reply #5)

Tue Sep 5, 2023, 10:23 PM

Sep 2023

The problem is most polls are based on random calls/contacts of voters, which can, if done properly, accurately model the popular vote, but the popular vote generally doesn't represent the effects of gerrymandering or the electoral college.

So, folks who don't understand that tend to think that "poll results" should be the same as "the election outcome," but they're not the same thing.

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Highlight:

That Big Poll Showing Trump and Biden Are Evenly Matched? Trump Helped Pay for It. [View all] Peacetrain Sep 2023 OP

THANKS! elleng Sep 2023 #1

keep the faith, folks..there are a LOT of undecideds who will break for Biden Recycle_Guru Sep 2023 #2

So Fabrizio fabricated this? GreenWave Sep 2023 #3

And the Wall Greed Journal peppertree Sep 2023 #14

Knew it was sus as soon as I saw the numbers ZonkerHarris Sep 2023 #4

Same. Biden is way ahead of Trump, but ... ananda Sep 2023 #7

Polls WVGal1963 Sep 2023 #5

If polls are wrong why do Democratic candidates spend millions getting poll results? former9thward Sep 2023 #9

Agree...if one takes a look at the last 3 election cycles you can see the polls were not correct PortTack Sep 2023 #16

👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻 onecaliberal Sep 2023 #28

Actually, some polls have been very accurate in recent elections. CaptainTruth Sep 2023 #31

YES!! WVGal1963 Sep 2023 #6

According to this Biden will win by 8 points LiberaBlueDem Sep 2023 #8

Yep, this time much if not most of Trump's free air time Mr.Bill Sep 2023 #13

And the media are pumping the narrative... dchill Sep 2023 #10

once again the media fails us........ Takket Sep 2023 #11

tfg - always pushing false narratives. ugggh. iluvtennis Sep 2023 #12

K and R BadgerMom Sep 2023 #15

Same as the "Red Wave" polls in 2022 budkin Sep 2023 #17

Indeed. The fearsome "Red Wave." And how'd that one work out? calimary Sep 2023 #35

This is the type of thing that happened last fall BumRushDaShow Sep 2023 #18

This is a January 6th set up all over again..they will try and steal the election AGAIN! Peacetrain Sep 2023 #21

Agree BumRushDaShow Sep 2023 #25

Kick dalton99a Sep 2023 #19

WSJ has really gone to hell... Wounded Bear Sep 2023 #20

There are many polls. Pick the one you like and swear by it. Swear at the others. keithbvadu2 Sep 2023 #22

I'll ask you the question nobody wants to answer... brooklynite Sep 2023 #23

15 gab13by13 Sep 2023 #32

This sounds right to me... First Speaker Sep 2023 #36

No! madashelltoo Sep 2023 #24

I Wrote It Off DET Sep 2023 #26

Exactly, thanks, I can not believe they are tied. No fawking way. a kennedy Sep 2023 #27

Republican owned media is to blame. They prop him up. live love laugh Sep 2023 #29

I also like (meaning really DISLIKE) in these "polls" that they almost never 4lbs Sep 2023 #30

How much does it cost to do 1 poll? gab13by13 Sep 2023 #33

You mean he DIDN'T help pay for it budkin Sep 2023 #34

Heh. After seeing this poll "results" headline earlier I was going to ask in a appropriate thread just How Could they be running neck and neck? electric_blue68 Sep 2023 #37

Campaigns do internal polls all the time Fiendish Thingy Sep 2023 #38

. mzmolly Sep 2023 #39