General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Why is it so terrible for us to have a CHOICE in the Democratic primary? [View all]ExWhoDoesntCare
(4,741 posts)Running a primary against a solid incumbent doesn't help the party. Never has.
First of all, it wastes precious resources (money and time) that could go into winning the general election. I saw that, up close and personal, with Carter in 1980.
Second: Do let us know when someone who mounted a vigorous primary campaign against an incumbent won the nomination, and without causing serious damage to the incumbent in the general. See: Buchanan v Bush in 1992. See: Ted Kennedy v Carter in 1980. Yeah, the economy was a major factor in their losses (and Iran for Carter)...but don't ignore how the primaries fractured both parties, when they most needed to come together.
So a Whitmer or Newsom can run against an incumbent, but the incumbent tends to both win the primary, and then lose the general. Do you want TFG back in office?
Then keep pursuing your pie-in-the-sky, but those of us living in reality will be Ridin' with Biden from the outset, because he's our closest thing to a sure bet to retain the White House.
And the polls are not something to take seriously right now. Obama and raygun the traitor were both underwater with voters during their 3rd year in office, and yet they still pulled off victories in year 4. Both even had fragile economies in their 2nd campaigns. Good...but not entirely on solid ground yet.
You can chalk up both of them winning to the power of the incumbency, more than anything.