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Abnredleg

(1,266 posts)

22. 538's end numbers were fairly accurate

Reply to bob4460 (Reply #21)

Tue Sep 26, 2023, 02:50 PM

Sep 2023

but that was because their algorithm factors in the historical accuracy of the polling companies. Plus you had “polling” companies created by GOP operatives specifically to game the polling average sites such as RCP. Yes, there is a lot of crap polling, but the traditional polling companies are working hard to do good polling. That’s why I only pay attention to certain polling companies.

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Americans Are Down on Biden. Why Does His Party Keep Winning Elections? [View all] RandySF Sep 2023 OP

Maybe we should consider the fact that Biden knows more about winning elections than the pundits do Walleye Sep 2023 #1

FWIW.... Happy Hoosier Sep 2023 #2

The polling model is very flawed bob4460 Sep 2023 #3

Not true Abnredleg Sep 2023 #9

Polling is extremely... Think. Again. Sep 2023 #11

Which is why you do comparisons Abnredleg Sep 2023 #13

OR... Think. Again. Sep 2023 #16

How about that Red wave the polls predicted? bob4460 Sep 2023 #21

538's end numbers were fairly accurate Abnredleg Sep 2023 #22

Biden is not deeply unpopular. Blues Heron Sep 2023 #4

Polls can be designed for intended results dlk Sep 2023 #5

Success climbs a wall of worry, just like the stock market bucolic_frolic Sep 2023 #6

In 2022, Democrats did well in special elections. everyonematters Sep 2023 #7

but that is almost always expected--some gains by opposition party in first midterm Recycle_Guru Sep 2023 #18

and I suspect that is the flaw of many of these national approval polls. Someone who leans right JohnSJ Sep 2023 #8

I like Biden. My son, who is very, very far to the left, likes Biden. yardwork Sep 2023 #10

Biden has a Truman-like persona I find appealing. delisen Sep 2023 #14

The headline is flawed... Think. Again. Sep 2023 #12

I agree the headline is very flawed. When I read "Down" in the context, I intrepret as "approves" msfiddlestix Sep 2023 #17

Whose actually polled? Brainfodder Sep 2023 #15

Stop following polls!!! marble falls Sep 2023 #19

More New York Times horse race journalism Bobstandard Sep 2023 #20