General Discussion

MyNameIsJonas

(744 posts)

32. Not 2020, tho.

Wed Oct 4, 2023, 07:08 PM

Oct 2023

The average had Biden winning nationally by 7.2% and he won by 4.5%. That's a difference of 2.7 points - a larger difference than the national polls forecasted in 2016 (in the final average, Hillary led Trump by 3.2 points and won by 2.1 points).

To compare poll vs poll, the final 2020 Marist poll had Biden beating Trump 54-43.

Nowhere near the actual results.

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A Rated Marist Poll - Joe Biden 49% TFG 47% [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2023 OP

the slob slide will continue Recycle_Guru Oct 2023 #1

Their congressional leader was expelled and their party leader is in court. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2023 #2

lol, slob side Celerity Oct 2023 #11

Frankly I don't buy any of the national polls right now as a predictive of what will happen JohnSJ Oct 2023 #3

I don't either..but I think we'll see a long slide downward in next 6 months Recycle_Guru Oct 2023 #4

I sure hope so JohnSJ Oct 2023 #6

With all the issues with polling and some like real clear politics are funded by Republicans now... Demsrule86 Oct 2023 #16

in my mind, directional trending more important than absolute number Recycle_Guru Oct 2023 #20

Trump isn't going to advertise this one. The_Casual_Observer Oct 2023 #5

What was Hillary's lead in 2016 when Trump won, in percentages? Samix Oct 2023 #10

16 is a completely different animal...Biden is an incumbent. This is more akin to 12... Demsrule86 Oct 2023 #13

Dems were over sampled then. and under performed to polls Recycle_Guru Oct 2023 #21

Not 2020, tho. MyNameIsJonas Oct 2023 #32

Welcome to DU. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2023 #26

"Democrats Generally Satisfied with Biden as Democratic Nominee" DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #7

Joe's age isn't optimum* but we have to play the hand we're dealt. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2023 #28

Yeah, like "inflation" which is aggravated by corporate PRICE-GOUGING.... DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #34

Agreed.... and it is mostly about "inflation"---- DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #40

Looks like I repeated myself! LOL oh well, it IS "REPUBLICAN INFLATION!" DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #41

I'm done with polls good or bad budkin Oct 2023 #8

There is only one poll that matters. roamer65 Oct 2023 #9

I don't think polls this early tell us much...but polls in the last two weeks were suspect...ABC Demsrule86 Oct 2023 #12

Yes, they only give us a "snapshot of sentiment" at this point in time-- DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #35

It's a long way to Tiperrary. Kingofalldems Oct 2023 #14

This poll confirms my personal biases, thus it is an excellent poll, accurate and well run. WarGamer Oct 2023 #17

Did I say that? Kingofalldems Oct 2023 #23

lol... OK WarGamer Oct 2023 #30

The not so good part... Independents favoring Trump +8% WarGamer Oct 2023 #15

I don't really believe that and lets see when state polls come in...that is what is important. Demsrule86 Oct 2023 #18

Agreed... WarGamer Oct 2023 #19

how many total are undecided. that is usually huge at this point Recycle_Guru Oct 2023 #22

Independents favoring Trump +8% but with Biden still up plus 2... DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #36

What this says is...the race is close brooklynite Oct 2023 #24

Until he's convicted on any of the 91 charges and put under the most onerous house arrest. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2023 #27

Yeah.... closer than it 'should' be--- DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #37

Third party candidates scipan Oct 2023 #25

Excuse me but.. flamingdem Oct 2023 #29

Will it help HIM, or Us?? Sorry, I don't know anymore... DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #38

oh so the Nov 2024 election ISN'T already over in Oct 2023? Takket Oct 2023 #31

This message was self-deleted by its author elocs Oct 2023 #33

And a virtual ROUT in the electoral college.... DemocraticPatriot Oct 2023 #39