General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Biden said to be increasingly frustrated by dismal poll numbers [View all]Fiendish Thingy
(23,279 posts)The question isnt what are the right numbers?, but are current polls accurately predicting voter behaviour next November?
They are clearly not- RFK will not get 20% of the vote, and 15% of likely voters will not be unsure or undecided.
While I think there is no way Trump will win the popular vote (and Biden may even increase his margin over 2020), I think we agree the electoral college will again be won by a narrow margin in a handful of swing states. We probably wont get a clear picture of how narrow that margin will be until next summer.
So, in the meantime, rather than hand wringing and pearl clutching over every negative poll, the focus should be on clarity and consistency in messaging, and engaging with, listening to, and motivating POC, women and young voters, whose turnout, especially in swing states, will be key to victory.