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Silent3

(15,463 posts)
2. I went with "other" simply because I can't know for sure
Sun Jan 28, 2024, 08:25 PM
Jan 2024

I’d say Trump’s cognitive decline having an impact on the election is a distinct possibility, but there’s not enough info to guess the odds.

My guess would be Trump dropping out of the race outright is very unlikely.

Trump showing such a big decline so soon that Haley wins the Republican nomination is also pretty unlikely, but more likely than Trump dropping out. (He’d stubbornly run as an independent in this event.)

The most likely scenario I see for Trump’s mental state affecting the race is that Trump becomes the Republican nominee, then simply embarrasses himself into losing a lot of support in the general election.

Magats don't care Beausoleil Jan 2024 #1
I pray that it comes true and that God hits paydirt!! SoFlaBro Jan 2024 #10
I went with "other" simply because I can't know for sure Silent3 Jan 2024 #2
He's been losing, totally, since 2020. OAITW r.2.0 Jan 2024 #3
well i don't know if he'll make it to the general..... Takket Jan 2024 #4
I was thinking of doing a poll like this myself captain queeg Jan 2024 #5
Other. limbicnuminousity Jan 2024 #6
He'll make it to the general election... WestMichRad Jan 2024 #7
Yes, the poll is asking for multiple prediction. DC77 Jan 2024 #9
The reason I included that it would be close in the second choice is because in the thread I link to Quixote1818 Jan 2024 #11
Not sure why anyone would think it won't be close considering his last two elections were extremely close. MyNameIsJonas Jan 2024 #12
Because he's a blithering idiot and a criminal? WestMichRad Jan 2024 #14
He was all those things in 2020. MyNameIsJonas Jan 2024 #17
Yeah, it's wishful thinking that it will be a blowout no matter how insane Trump becomes. nt Quixote1818 Jan 2024 #15
If there had been no inflation and cost of living crisis... MyNameIsJonas Jan 2024 #18
Unfortunately, this is going to be an extremely close election mahina Jan 2024 #8
This poll, of course, is meaningless. I do think his cognitive decline is becoming more and more obvious. NNadir Jan 2024 #13
This message was self-deleted by its author mahina Jan 2024 #16
The Republicans who are working to stop him don't really have the means. lees1975 Jan 2024 #19
That's an extremely bold prediction... DemocraticPatriot Jan 2024 #21
It will be a close race, but we will win DemocraticPatriot Jan 2024 #20
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