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former9thward

(33,424 posts)

12. The polls were accurate.

Reply to pnwmom (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2024, 09:36 AM

Feb 2024

The polls were predicting about 4%. When the counting stopped it was at 8% and steadily decreasing. I think it will end at about 6%. That is very accurate considering the snowstorm which had a dampening effect on same day voting which tends R. The polls were good in this election -- much to the disappointment of some.

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The final polls gave Suozzi a narrow lead -- 3-4% -- over Pilip. But, the Democrat won by more than 8%. [View all] pnwmom Feb 2024 OP

Still only 72% counted so we don't know the exact end count. mucifer Feb 2024 #1

Kornacki predicts 8%, so I changed it to that. The point remains. pnwmom Feb 2024 #7

Obviously within the margin of error. (Sarcasm) JohnSJ Feb 2024 #2

Actually it is dsc Feb 2024 #11

Perhaps... but a trend seems to be emerging. Happy Hoosier Feb 2024 #13

We are over performing dsc Feb 2024 #16

I agree.... Happy Hoosier Feb 2024 #17

They adjusted their sampling after 2016 Johnny2X2X Feb 2024 #3

Nassau still being processed. Win should narrow when count reaches 100% BlueWaveNeverEnd Feb 2024 #4

I looked it up because I did a post on polls, gab13by13 Feb 2024 #5

Also, consider if a president is in real trouble, you don't see results lik this...Fuck the Biden bullshit Demsrule86 Feb 2024 #6

YES,, and a heart for you gab13by13 Feb 2024 #8

I grew up in the next district over... LowerManhattanite Feb 2024 #9

When the media repeatedly claimed that this race was virtually a "dead heat," no_hypocrisy Feb 2024 #10

The polls were accurate. former9thward Feb 2024 #12

The weather affected our side, too, and the difference is still almost 8%, at 93% of the vote. pnwmom Feb 2024 #18

I think pollsters are oversampling Republicans. LiberalFighter Feb 2024 #14

Yes. For awhile I've been adding points to every Dem leaning poll. ananda Feb 2024 #15