Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
Editorials & Other Articles
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Well that didn't take long: "Democrats' Joe Biden Problem Got Worse With Special Election Win" [View all]brooklynite
(96,882 posts)28. ABC News' polling methodology and standards
ABC News maintains standards for disclosure, validity, reliability and unbiased content in survey research and evaluates surveys being considered for use to establish whether they meet these standards.
On disclosure, in addition to the identities of the research sponsor and field work provider, ABC requires a detailed statement of methodology, the full questionnaire and complete marginal data. Proprietary research is not exempted.
Methodologically, in all or nearly all cases ABC requires a probability-based sample, with high levels of coverage of a credible sampling frame. Non-probability, self-selected or so-called "convenience" samples, including internet opt-in, e-mail, "blast fax," call-in, street intercept and non-probability mail-in samples do not meet ABC standards for validity and reliability.
ABC may accept some probability-based surveys that do not meet its own methodological standards but may recommend cautious use of such data, with qualifying language.
https://abcnews.go.com/US/PollVault/abc-news-polling-methodology-standards/story?id=145373
On disclosure, in addition to the identities of the research sponsor and field work provider, ABC requires a detailed statement of methodology, the full questionnaire and complete marginal data. Proprietary research is not exempted.
Methodologically, in all or nearly all cases ABC requires a probability-based sample, with high levels of coverage of a credible sampling frame. Non-probability, self-selected or so-called "convenience" samples, including internet opt-in, e-mail, "blast fax," call-in, street intercept and non-probability mail-in samples do not meet ABC standards for validity and reliability.
ABC may accept some probability-based surveys that do not meet its own methodological standards but may recommend cautious use of such data, with qualifying language.
https://abcnews.go.com/US/PollVault/abc-news-polling-methodology-standards/story?id=145373
Number 2 rated at 538
Edit history
Please sign in to view edit histories.
Recommendations
0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):
48 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
RecommendedHighlight replies with 5 or more recommendations
Well that didn't take long: "Democrats' Joe Biden Problem Got Worse With Special Election Win" [View all]
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
OP
It is such a piece of shit article. Probably already had it typed out yesterday and changed a few fucking things today.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#2
They claim to be middle of the road. It's a shitshow. This bullshit has been going on for years now.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#5
Let me sum up the article: "Polls say. Polls say. Polls say. Polls say. Polls say."
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#6
I'm sick of this shit. Suozzi could have gotten all 200,000 votes to 0 and it would still be "bad for Biden". Fuck this.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#10
They aren't even trying to appear objective anymore. All bias. All fucking day.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#13
One of things I like about politics is that there are always at least 2 sides to story. One side often BS, though.
Silent Type
Feb 2024
#12
The comments on that article give me a smidge of hope that the electorate is not entirely fucking stupid.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#25
Predictably right wing biased. Nothing biden's approval rating is underwater, ignoring that Donnie's is drowning.
unblock
Feb 2024
#17
"Reign of error" lol The article relies HEAVILY on a polling model we have strong indication is flawed and MAGA biased.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#21
They don't get to hide behind "Margin of Error" on these shitty polls. They are pushing a narrative.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#29
The error is that Dems seem to over-perform the polls by 3-5 points routinely. Hasn't been the other way in years.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#36
ABC/Washington Post never did a poll on NY-3 if that's what you're thinking of
brooklynite
Feb 2024
#39
Why is it always "wrong" in the same direction? Why don't they adjust their dogshit models?
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#40
Yes, when you have to add in the MoE to get in the ballpark of the result. That is in the wrong direction.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#42
The first four polls were all taken before the House spiked the border bill...
brooklynite
Feb 2024
#43
He expected it to be close based on the shit polling. They keep getting these races wrong and skewed towards MAGA.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#44
This isn't the only race where this has happened. Ballot initiatives. Special races. The bias keeps fucking happening.
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#46
As long as the final numbers coalesce around the final result and within the margin of error, there is nothing to reveal
SoFlaBro
Feb 2024
#48
The odd thing is they run that with a video saying this was a "boost" for Biden
muriel_volestrangler
Feb 2024
#23