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In reply to the discussion: CBS News/YouGov poll: many voters are clueless [View all]All Mixed Up
(597 posts)That doesn't sound substantial but it kinda is when you realize he was polling at 4.7%. That's a bit less than half his polling support on election day.
Meanwhile, Hillary saw an increase of 2.5 points compared to her final average of polls.
The devastating change came from Trump. He saw a near-four-point increase.
Stein also saw a drop in support. She went from an average of 1.9 to 1.1 in the final vote total. Again, it looks small but that's essentially losing half her overall support from the average of polls. That's a lot.
A big reason third party candidates do so poorly is that they don't have near the money for GOTV efforts, especially in swing states where the party plays a vital role in pinpointing areas they need to get the vote out and how to track who is and isn't voting so you can get 'em to the polls if needed. Couple that with the fact third party voters in general are way more fickle than party-line voters and you run into situations where they don't vote or decide last minute to vote for one of the two major candidates. RFK will not have that level of organization.