General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: 'Uncommitted' vote against Biden blows past goal in Minnesota's Democratic primary [View all]All Mixed Up
(597 posts)1. There were no exit polls done on the Democratic side so we don't know if Biden's numbers, at least the satisfied/unsatisfied part would be similar to Trump's. We can assume maybe not because he's winning by a wider clip than Trump but it's not an apples to apples comparison as Haley was a much more visible and known candidate than Dean Phillips. Biden has only faced token opposition in this race. A more known Democrat might have done substantially better than Phillips.
2. You mentioned in another post that Haley is doing better in open primaries than closed, meaning crossover appeal. How many Haley voters in these open primary states ever supported Trump? How many actually voted Trump in 2020? I suspect that number probably mirrors, or is close to, the polling on whether they'll vote for Trump or not in November.
So, is Trump actually losing support or are these old school Republicans and independents who never supported Trump in the first place?
That's the million dollar question. If Trump never had these voters to begin with, then he isn't actually losing anything.